ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

RVLV Q2 Deep Dive: Margin Gains and International Growth Counter Tariff Headwinds

RVLV Cover Image

Online fashion retailer Revolve (NASDAQ: RVLV) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 9.4% year on year to $309 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.15 per share was 14.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy RVLV? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Revolve (RVLV) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $309 million vs analyst estimates of $298 million (9.4% year-on-year growth, 3.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.15 vs analyst estimates of $0.13 (14.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $22.89 million vs analyst estimates of $15.1 million (7.4% margin, 51.6% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 5.8%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Active Customers : 2.74 million, up 166,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $1.47 billion

StockStory’s Take

Revolve’s second quarter performance exceeded Wall Street’s expectations for both revenue and profit, but the market responded unfavorably, reflecting investor concern over external headwinds and the durability of recent gains. Management attributed the quarter’s results to a combination of strong international sales—particularly in China—continued expansion of owned brands, and improved inventory efficiency. Co-CEO Michael Karanikolas highlighted, “Our net sales growth rebounded strongly from mid-single digits in April into the low double-digit growth territory for the months of May and June,” citing broad-based category strength and lower return rates as supporting factors. While gross margin outperformed expectations due to tariff mitigation and improved markdown algorithms, management was cautious about ongoing volatility in the tariff environment and its potential impact in the second half of the year.

Looking ahead, management believes Revolve’s prospects will be shaped by its ability to navigate continued tariff uncertainty, expand its owned brand mix, and drive further international growth. Co-CEO Michael Mente said the company is “investing with confidence ahead of the launch of some exciting new owned brands in the next few quarters,” and expects physical retail expansion to contribute over time. CFO Jesse Timmermans warned that “comps do get tougher in the back half of the year,” and flagged that gross margin guidance remains sensitive to shifting tariff rates and mitigation effectiveness. The company is also focused on leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance site personalization and operational efficiency, with several new AI-driven initiatives in the research and development pipeline.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed Q2’s performance to international momentum, the growing mix of owned brands, and operational improvements offsetting tariff impacts. They discussed how these factors, alongside new merchandising and marketing strategies, shaped both the latest results and the company’s evolving long-term priorities.

  • International market acceleration: Net sales outside the U.S. grew 17% year-over-year, with China highlighted as a key driver after a dedicated local team and marketplace partnerships doubled sales over two years. Management described China as “very early stages” in its growth, with other international regions also showing double-digit increases.

  • Owned brands margin lift: The mix of owned brands, which are exclusive to Revolve and generate higher gross margins, reached its highest level yet, contributing meaningfully to margin expansion. CEO Michael Mente noted five consecutive quarters of owned brand growth, with upcoming launches expected to further improve category diversification and profitability.

  • Operational improvements and inventory efficiency: Management credited improved inventory turns and a 1.5-point drop in product return rates for boosting cash flow and operating leverage. CFO Jesse Timmermans called out a “healthy and clean” inventory position, with net sales up 9% while inventory declined 6% year-over-year.

  • Tariff mitigation strategies: Revolve offset much of its increased tariff exposure through partnerships with brands, sourcing diversification, and enhancements to markdown algorithms. Karanikolas stated that these efforts “should be favorable through our long-term margin structure,” despite ongoing volatility in tariff policy.

  • AI-driven enhancements: The company expanded its use of internally developed AI, including new search algorithms that lifted conversion rates and voice-to-text support in customer service. Management described ongoing AI investments as central to future growth and operational efficiency, with further R&D in personalization and marketing underway.

Drivers of Future Performance

Revolve’s guidance for the coming quarters hinges on its ability to manage tariff volatility, expand owned brands, and sustain international momentum amid a more challenging comparison base.

  • Tariff and pricing dynamics: Management warned that gross margins remain exposed to changes in tariff policy and the timing of mitigation efforts, with the mix of owned and third-party brands influencing the pace and acceptance of price increases. CFO Jesse Timmermans emphasized that current guidance reflects best estimates, but “there are a lot of moving pieces and a considerable amount of uncertainty that remains.”

  • Owned brand launches and physical retail: The company plans to invest in new owned brands and will open a permanent Los Angeles store in the next quarter, aiming to leverage in-store momentum and expand product reach. Mente believes owned brand penetration will rise steadily and that physical retail will become a more important growth lever over time.

  • AI and category diversification: Ongoing investments in AI are expected to further improve site personalization, conversion, and operational efficiency, while continued expansion into categories like beauty, men’s, and home goods should drive revenue per customer. Management highlighted that these initiatives are in early stages but are already showing positive early results.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) execution on new owned brand launches and their impact on margin and category expansion, (2) progress on opening and scaling the Los Angeles physical retail store as a testbed for broader retail growth, and (3) continued effectiveness of tariff mitigation strategies, especially as global trade policy remains volatile. Additional attention will be given to the ongoing rollout of AI-powered site enhancements and their contribution to conversion and customer engagement.

Revolve currently trades at $20.59, in line with $20.65 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.