ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

TEX Q2 Deep Dive: Margin Pressures Offset by Environmental Solutions Strength and Tariff Mitigation

TEX Cover Image

Lifting and material handling equipment company Terex (NYSE: TEX) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 7.6% year on year to $1.49 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $5.4 billion at the midpoint came in 1.2% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.49 per share was 6.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy TEX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Terex (TEX) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.49 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.44 billion (7.6% year-on-year growth, 3.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.49 vs analyst estimates of $1.40 (6.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $181.4 million vs analyst estimates of $192.9 million (12.2% margin, 6% miss)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $5.4 billion at the midpoint
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $4.90 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 4.8%
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $640 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $687.2 million
  • Operating Margin: 8.7%, down from 14% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 6.6% year on year vs analyst estimates of 4.9% growth (177 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $3.32 billion

StockStory’s Take

Terex’s second quarter saw mixed market reaction, despite the company exceeding Wall Street’s revenue and adjusted EPS expectations. Management highlighted robust performance in Environmental Solutions, which helped counteract headwinds in Aerials and declining operating margins. CEO Simon Meester emphasized that “strong performance in Environmental Solutions offset industry-wide headwinds in Aerials,” while CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello cited improved throughput and operational efficiencies as key drivers within the Environmental Solutions division. However, the company faced significant margin compression, with operating margin dropping from last year, largely due to an unfavorable mix and tariff-related inflation.

Looking ahead, Terex’s guidance is shaped by expectations of resilient demand in Environmental Solutions and ongoing margin pressures elsewhere, particularly from tariffs and customer mix shifts. Management sees continued momentum in refuse and utility trucks, as well as progress on synergy realization from recent acquisitions. CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello noted that “tariff mitigation actions will flow through more in Q4,” and CEO Simon Meester stated, “we are seeing early signs of transmission and distribution jobs ramping up, which should benefit our utilities segment.” The company remains cautious about independent rental customer demand and the timing of benefits from new U.S. bonus depreciation legislation.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed Q2 results to strong Environmental Solutions growth and margin improvement, offset by weaker Aerials performance and higher tariff costs. Forward guidance reflects continued strength in Environmental Solutions, persistent margin headwinds, and the impact of recent trade policy changes.

  • Environmental Solutions momentum: Environmental Solutions delivered double-digit sales and margin growth, driven by improved throughput, operational efficiencies, and favorable product mix in utilities. Management highlighted the launch of new digital fleet monitoring modules, contributing to growing software-based revenue streams.

  • Aerials mix and margin pressure: The Aerials segment faced lower margins due to a greater proportion of national customer sales, which management said are less profitable than independent rentals. CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello noted, “unfavorable customer mix… will put pressure on Aerials margins in the second half.”

  • Tariff-related headwinds: Tariff inflation on imported materials and new reciprocal tariffs, especially on steel and European imports, weighed on profitability. Management estimated the net impact of tariffs to be approximately $0.50 per share for the year, up from prior expectations, despite mitigation efforts through supplier negotiations and preemptive inventory moves.

  • Synergy progress from ESG acquisition: Terex is running ahead of schedule in realizing synergies from the Environmental Solutions Group (ESG) acquisition. Management cited extending ESG’s digital 3rd Eye platform to other product lines and leveraging scale for sourcing savings as key achievements, which are expected to contribute more in future periods.

  • Diversified end-market exposure: Over half of Terex’s revenue now comes from less-cyclical end markets like waste, recycling, and utilities, reducing reliance on general construction. Management pointed to continued strength in large infrastructure projects and resilience in utilities, while private construction remains subdued.

Drivers of Future Performance

Terex expects future performance to hinge on Environmental Solutions momentum, tariff mitigation, and end-market shifts, with a focus on margin management and operational synergies.

  • Tariff mitigation and cost control: Management is executing a multi-pronged strategy to offset tariff costs, including supplier negotiations, reengineering, and selective price increases. CFO Jennifer Kong-Picarello noted that mitigation actions will be more pronounced in the fourth quarter, helping to alleviate some cost pressures. However, higher tariffs on steel and European imports will remain a headwind, and management does not expect material relief in the near term.

  • Environmental Solutions and digital offerings: The company is optimistic about continued growth in Environmental Solutions, powered by demand for refuse and utility vehicles and the expansion of digital platforms like 3rd Eye. CEO Simon Meester highlighted early adoption of new modules for fleet management and operator safety, which are creating recurring software revenue streams and cross-selling opportunities across product lines.

  • Infrastructure and bonus depreciation impact: Management expects sustained demand from large infrastructure and manufacturing projects to support equipment sales, aided by new U.S. tax incentives such as 100% bonus depreciation. However, the timing of incremental demand is uncertain, with CEO Meester cautioning that “most companies are just trying to figure out what the cash benefits are going to be, what the tariff headwinds are going to be.”

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace of Environmental Solutions’ margin and revenue growth as operational synergies from the ESG acquisition materialize, (2) the effectiveness of tariff mitigation strategies and how quickly cost savings are realized, and (3) signs of a rebound in Aerials and Materials Processing as macro uncertainty and end-market caution persist. The impact of recent U.S. tax incentives and infrastructure spending will also be key indicators to track.

Terex currently trades at $50.60, up from $49.87 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

Now Could Be The Perfect Time To Invest In These Stocks

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.