ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From Moderna’s Q2 Earnings Call

MRNA Cover Image

Moderna’s second quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as investors focused on both a sharp decline in year-over-year sales and ongoing operational challenges. Management attributed quarterly performance primarily to lower COVID vaccine demand and highlighted that U.S. sales performed above internal expectations due to a stronger spring booster campaign. CEO Stéphane Bancel pointed to significant cost-cutting efforts, including a 35% reduction in combined cost of sales and SG&A, and noted, “We remain highly focused on financial discipline.” The company also announced a 10% workforce reduction to further align its cost structure with current demand.

Is now the time to buy MRNA? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Moderna (MRNA) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $142 million vs analyst estimates of $128.3 million (41.1% year-on-year decline, 10.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: -$2.13 vs analyst estimates of -$3.00 (29% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: -$850 million vs analyst estimates of -$1.21 billion
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $1.85 billion at the midpoint from $2 billion, a 7.5% decrease
  • Operating Margin: -639%, down from -566% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $9.98 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Moderna’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Salveen Jaswal Richter (Goldman Sachs) asked about the addition of secondary endpoints in the CMV vaccine trial; President Stephen Hoge explained this was to capture more data relevant to broader patient populations and that the final analysis will occur this fall.
  • Eliana Rachel Merle (UBS) inquired about U.S. COVID vaccine pricing; CFO James Mock declined to give specifics but said pricing and contracting are complete and factored into the current revenue range.
  • Michael Jonathan Yee (Jefferies) sought clarity on what would constitute a positive CMV readout and the influence of regulatory changes; Hoge emphasized the study was powered for over 49% vaccine efficacy and that regulator dialogues remain constructive.
  • Courtney Breen (Bernstein) questioned the focus of headcount reductions and potential areas of hiring; CEO Stéphane Bancel and Mock described cuts across manufacturing, R&D, and G&A, while highlighting ongoing hiring for launches and key capabilities.
  • Luca Issi (RBC) probed business development strategy and partnering in China; Bancel stated Moderna remains open to partnerships for non-mRNA assets and is prioritizing financial discipline over advancing all internal candidates.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, our team will closely watch (1) the pace of regulatory approvals and launches for the seasonal flu vaccine and the flu-COVID combination candidate, (2) the readout of Phase III efficacy data for the CMV vaccine and progress in oncology studies, and (3) the company’s execution on additional cost-cutting measures and ability to sustain operational efficiencies. Updates on product uptake in key international markets and further headway in pipeline diversification will also be important markers of success.

Moderna currently trades at $25.79, down from $29.56 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.