ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Surprises With Q2 Sales

DDS Cover Image

Department store chain Dillard’s (NYSE: DDS) reported Q2 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 1.4% year on year to $1.54 billion. Its GAAP profit of $4.66 per share was 16.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Dillard's? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Dillard's (DDS) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.54 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.50 billion (1.4% year-on-year growth, 2.6% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $4.66 vs analyst estimates of $4.00 (16.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $187.2 million vs analyst estimates of $128.6 million (12.2% margin, 45.6% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 9.3%, up from 6.6% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was $60.12 million, up from -$94.33 million in the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 272 at quarter end, down from 273 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 1% year on year (-5% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $7.77 billion

Dillard’s Chief Executive Officer William T. Dillard, II commented on the quarter, “We were happy to achieve a sales increase for the first time in a while and encouraged by strengthening sales trends in July. In an operating environment that changes daily, we focused on controlling inventory, ending up 2% compared to 6% at the end of first quarter.”

Company Overview

With stores located largely in the Southern and Western US, Dillard’s (NYSE: DDS) is a department store chain that sells clothing, cosmetics, accessories, and home goods.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years.

With $6.59 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Dillard's is a mid-sized retailer, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better economies of scale.

As you can see below, Dillard's struggled to increase demand as its $6.59 billion of sales for the trailing 12 months was close to its revenue six years ago (we compare to 2019 to normalize for COVID-19 impacts). This was mainly because it didn’t open many new stores and observed lower sales at existing, established locations.

Dillard's Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Dillard's reported modest year-on-year revenue growth of 1.4% but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 2.6%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to decline by 3% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last six years. This projection is underwhelming and implies its products will face some demand challenges.

Software is eating the world and there is virtually no industry left that has been untouched by it. That drives increasing demand for tools helping software developers do their jobs, whether it be monitoring critical cloud infrastructure, integrating audio and video functionality, or ensuring smooth content streaming. Click here to access a free report on our 3 favorite stocks to play this generational megatrend.

Store Performance

Number of Stores

A retailer’s store count often determines how much revenue it can generate.

Dillard's listed 272 locations in the latest quarter and has kept its store count flat over the last two years while other consumer retail businesses have opted for growth.

When a retailer keeps its store footprint steady, it usually means demand is stable and it’s focusing on operational efficiency to increase profitability.

Dillard's Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

A company's store base only paints one part of the picture. When demand is high, it makes sense to open more. But when demand is low, it’s prudent to close some locations and use the money in other ways. Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at those existing stores and is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

Dillard’s demand has been shrinking over the last two years as its same-store sales have averaged 2.9% annual declines. This performance isn’t ideal, and we’d be concerned if Dillard's starts opening new stores to artificially boost revenue growth.

Dillard's Same-Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, Dillard’s same-store sales rose 1% year on year. This growth was a well-appreciated turnaround from its historical levels, showing the business is regaining momentum.

Key Takeaways from Dillard’s Q2 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Dillard's blew past analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this quarter featured some important positives. The stock remained flat at $498.50 immediately after reporting.

Dillard's put up rock-solid earnings, but one quarter doesn’t necessarily make the stock a buy. Let’s see if this is a good investment. The latest quarter does matter, but not nearly as much as longer-term fundamentals and valuation, when deciding if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.