ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) Surprises With Q2 Sales, Stock Soars

DKNG Cover Image

Fantasy sports and betting company DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 36.9% year on year to $1.51 billion. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $6.3 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.38 per share was 6.3% below analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy DraftKings? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

DraftKings (DKNG) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.51 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.43 billion (36.9% year-on-year growth, 5.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.38 vs analyst expectations of $0.41 (6.3% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $300.6 million vs analyst estimates of $243.6 million (19.9% margin, 23.4% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $6.3 billion at the midpoint
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $850 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $840.8 million
  • Operating Margin: 10%, up from -2.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 7.2%, up from 2.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Monthly Unique Payers: 3.3 million, up 200,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $22.51 billion

“We set records for revenue, net income and Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter, driven by an acceleration in revenue growth to 37% year-over-year,” said Jason Robins, DraftKings’ Chief Executive Officer and Co-founder.

Company Overview

Getting its start in daily fantasy sports, DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Luckily, DraftKings’s sales grew at an incredible 64.9% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth beat the average consumer discretionary company and shows its offerings resonate with customers, a helpful starting point for our analysis.

DraftKings Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. DraftKings’s annualized revenue growth of 34.2% over the last two years is below its five-year trend, but we still think the results suggest healthy demand. DraftKings Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, DraftKings reported wonderful year-on-year revenue growth of 36.9%, and its $1.51 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 5.9%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 27.3% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. Despite the slowdown, this projection is healthy and suggests the market is forecasting success for its products and services.

Here at StockStory, we certainly understand the potential of thematic investing. Diverse winners from Microsoft (MSFT) to Alphabet (GOOG), Coca-Cola (KO) to Monster Beverage (MNST) could all have been identified as promising growth stories with a megatrend driving the growth. So, in that spirit, we’ve identified a relatively under-the-radar profitable growth stock benefiting from the rise of AI, available to you FREE via this link.

Operating Margin

DraftKings’s operating margin has risen over the last 12 months, but it still averaged negative 8.6% over the last two years. This is due to its large expense base and inefficient cost structure. It might have a shot at long-term profitability if it can scale quickly and gain operating leverage.

DraftKings Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q2, DraftKings generated an operating margin profit margin of 10%, up 12.9 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

DraftKings’s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last five years. This is a good sign and shows it’s at an inflection point.

DraftKings Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q2, DraftKings reported adjusted EPS at $0.38, up from $0.22 in the same quarter last year. Despite growing year on year, this print missed analysts’ estimates, but we care more about long-term adjusted EPS growth than short-term movements. We also like to analyze expected EPS growth based on Wall Street analysts’ consensus projections, but there is insufficient data.

Key Takeaways from DraftKings’s Q2 Results

We enjoyed seeing DraftKings beat analysts’ EBITDA expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EPS missed. Overall, this print had some key positives. The stock traded up 5.3% to $47.80 immediately following the results.

So do we think DraftKings is an attractive buy at the current price? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  226.00
-0.76 (-0.34%)
AAPL  272.29
+0.10 (0.04%)
AMD  206.49
+5.43 (2.70%)
BAC  54.91
+0.65 (1.20%)
GOOG  303.76
+0.01 (0.00%)
META  662.50
-1.95 (-0.29%)
MSFT  483.64
-0.34 (-0.07%)
NVDA  178.07
+3.93 (2.26%)
ORCL  191.17
+11.14 (6.19%)
TSLA  483.85
+0.48 (0.10%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.