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Why ON24 (ONTF) Stock Is Up Today

August 08, 2025 at 14:21 PM EDT

ⓘ This article is third-party content and does not represent the views of this site. We make no guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness.

ONTF Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of virtual events software company (NYSE: ONTF) jumped 5.6% in the afternoon session after the company reported second-quarter results that beat Wall Street's top and bottom-line estimates, but the report also highlighted continued struggles with revenue growth. The company posted revenue of $35.33 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.02, surpassing analyst expectations of $34.66 million and $0.01, respectively. However, the positive surprise was tempered by underlying weakness, as revenue still declined 5.4% year-on-year. Furthermore, billings, a key indicator of future revenue, fell 14.3% year-on-year to $25.93 million, signaling persistent demand issues. For the full year, ON24 slightly raised its revenue guidance to $138.2 million at the midpoint but only reiterated its adjusted EPS forecast of $0.04, reflecting a mixed outlook for the company.

Is now the time to buy ON24? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

What Is The Market Telling Us

ON24’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 7 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock dropped 4.1% on the news that the White House announced a new round of steep global tariffs, sparking concerns of a trade war and its impact on the U.S. and global economies. This move creates significant uncertainty for businesses and investors. The new tariffs, with rates of up to 41% on imports from 68 countries and the European Union, prompted a broad market sell-off, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq index showing notable weakness. Adding to the bearish sentiment was a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, which revealed that employers created only 73,000 jobs, far below economists' expectations. This combination of trade fears and signs of a slowing labor market has created a "risk-off" environment, leading investors to pull back from growth-oriented sectors like software and technology.

ON24 is down 22.8% since the beginning of the year, and at $5.02 per share, it is trading 28.4% below its 52-week high of $7.01 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of ON24’s shares at the IPO in February 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $70.88.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

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