ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Lululemon’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

LULU Cover Image

Lululemon’s second quarter results were met with a significant negative market reaction, primarily due to underperformance in the U.S. and a reduction in full-year revenue expectations. Management attributed these results to product fatigue in core casual lines and heightened competitive pressures in the premium athletic wear segment. CEO Calvin McDonald acknowledged that the company’s product cycle in core lounge and social categories had become too predictable, stating, “We have let our product life cycles run too long.” He also emphasized that while international markets delivered strong growth, the U.S. business faced challenges related to consumer selectivity and a lack of newness in the assortment.

Is now the time to buy LULU? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Lululemon (LULU) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.53 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.54 billion (6.5% year-on-year growth, 0.5% miss)
  • EPS (GAAP): $3.10 vs analyst estimates of $2.85 (8.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $643.5 million vs analyst estimates of $597.9 million (25.5% margin, 7.6% beat)
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $10.93 billion at the midpoint from $11.23 billion, a 2.7% decrease
  • EPS (GAAP) guidance for the full year is $12.87 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 11.1%
  • Operating Margin: 20.7%, down from 22.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 784 at quarter end, up from 721 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 1% year on year (2% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $19.44 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Lululemon’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Janine Hoffman Stichter (BTIG) asked about the timeline for product assortment changes and the impact on near-term results. CEO Calvin McDonald explained that guests will see more new styles in the second half of the year, but the full benefits are expected in 2026.

  • Alexandra Straton (Morgan Stanley) questioned if the 60-40 performance-to-casual product mix remains optimal. McDonald responded that while the split is a good starting point, the company will adapt based on guest response to new styles.

  • Brooke Roach (Goldman Sachs) inquired about the magnitude of underperforming franchises and how quickly innovation can offset pressure. McDonald stated the shift toward newness is focused on casual categories and will be tested for guest response.

  • Jay Sole (UBS) asked how Lululemon will accelerate supply chain speed. McDonald highlighted new vendor partnerships and technology investments, including the Chief AI and Technology Officer, to reduce lead times and improve agility.

  • Paul Lejuez (Citi) pressed for clarity on the balance between pricing as a mitigation tool and increased markdowns. CFO Meghan Frank noted that pricing actions are selective and markdown pressure is primarily due to excess seasonal inventory, not directly related to tariff mitigation.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our analysts will closely monitor (1) the pace at which new product introductions refresh the U.S. assortment and drive traffic, (2) the effectiveness of mitigation strategies for tariff and de minimis cost increases, and (3) continued strength in international markets, particularly China. We will also track inventory management and the rollout of technology-driven agility initiatives as key indicators of progress.

Lululemon currently trades at $164.19, down from $206.10 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Trump’s April 2025 tariff bombshell triggered a massive market selloff, but stocks have since staged an impressive recovery, leaving those who panic sold on the sidelines.

Take advantage of the rebound by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.