3 Reasons MTW is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

September 17, 2025 at 00:02 AM EDT

MTW Cover Image

While the S&P 500 is up 16.4% since March 2025, Manitowoc (currently trading at $10.05 per share) has lagged behind, posting a return of 5.1%. This was partly due to its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is now the time to buy Manitowoc, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Manitowoc Will Underperform?

We're swiping left on Manitowoc for now. Here are three reasons you should be careful with MTW and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Backlog Declines as Orders Drop

In addition to reported revenue, backlog is a useful data point for analyzing Construction Machinery companies. This metric shows the value of outstanding orders that have not yet been executed or delivered, giving visibility into Manitowoc’s future revenue streams.

Manitowoc’s backlog came in at $729.3 million in the latest quarter, and it averaged 15.3% year-on-year declines over the last two years. This performance was underwhelming and shows the company is not winning new orders. It also suggests there may be increasing competition or market saturation. Manitowoc Backlog

2. EPS Trending Down

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Sadly for Manitowoc, its EPS declined by 17.6% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 6.3%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Manitowoc Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

As you can see below, Manitowoc’s margin dropped by 6.7 percentage points over the last five years. Almost any movement in the wrong direction is undesirable because of its already low cash conversion. If the trend continues, it could signal it’s becoming a more capital-intensive business. Manitowoc’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was negative 1.7%.

Manitowoc Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping their customers, but in the case of Manitowoc, we’re out. With its shares trailing the market in recent months, the stock trades at 20.6× forward P/E (or $10.05 per share). While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t see a big opportunity at the moment. There are superior stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward the most entrenched endpoint security platform on the market.

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