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1 Unpopular Stock That Deserves a Second Chance and 2 That Underwhelm

JCI Cover Image

When Wall Street turns bearish on a stock, it’s worth paying attention. These calls stand out because analysts rarely issue grim ratings on companies for fear their firms will lose out in other business lines such as M&A advisory.

Whatever the consensus opinion may be, our team at StockStory cuts through the noise by conducting independent analysis to determine a company’s long-term prospects. Keeping that in mind, here is one stock poised to prove Wall Street wrong and two facing legitimate challenges.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Johnson Controls (JCI)

Consensus Price Target: $114.47 (8.9% implied return)

Founded after patenting the electric room thermostat, Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) specializes in building products and technology solutions, including HVAC systems, fire and security systems, and energy storage.

Why Do We Think JCI Will Underperform?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Estimated sales growth of 4.2% for the next 12 months is soft and implies weaker demand
  3. Underwhelming 7.3% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities, and its decreasing returns suggest its historical profit centers are aging

At $105.11 per share, Johnson Controls trades at 25.2x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including JCI in your portfolio.

Rivian (RIVN)

Consensus Price Target: $14.13 (-10.1% implied return)

The manufacturer of Amazon’s delivery trucks, Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and commercial delivery vans.

Why Does RIVN Fall Short?

  1. Negative 49.3% gross margin means it loses money on every sale and must pivot or scale quickly to survive
  2. Cash-burning history makes us doubt the long-term viability of its business model
  3. Depletion of cash reserves could lead to a fundraising event that triggers shareholder dilution

Rivian is trading at $15.71 per share, or 3.2x forward price-to-sales. If you’re considering RIVN for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

One Stock to Buy:

Reddit (RDDT)

Consensus Price Target: $216.73 (-6.8% implied return)

Founded in 2005 by two University of Virginia roommates, Reddit (NYSE: RDDT) facilitates user-generated content across niche communities (called subreddits) that discuss anything from stocks to dating and memes.

Why Is RDDT a Top Pick?

  1. Has the opportunity to boost monetization through new features and premium offerings as its domestic daily active visitors have grown by 33.7% annually over the last two years
  2. Earnings growth has massively outpaced its peers over the last three years as its EPS has compounded at 38.6% annually
  3. Free cash flow margin increased by 35.1 percentage points over the last few years, giving the company more capital to invest or return to shareholders

Reddit’s stock price of $232.50 implies a valuation ratio of 60.8x forward EV/EBITDA. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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