ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Volatile Stocks We Find Risky

MGPI Cover Image

A highly volatile stock can deliver big gains - or just as easily wipe out a portfolio if things go south. While some investors embrace risk, mistakes can be costly for those who aren’t prepared.

These stocks can be a rollercoaster, and StockStory is here to guide you through the ups and downs. That said, here are three volatile stocks to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.

MGP Ingredients (MGPI)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 1.20

Headquartered in Atchison, Kansas, MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ: MGPI) is a leading supplier of high-quality ingredients to the food and beverage industry

Why Is MGPI Risky?

  1. Sales tumbled by 8.6% annually over the last three years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  2. Sales are projected to tank by 12% over the next 12 months as its demand continues evaporating
  3. Inability to adjust its cost structure while its revenue declined over the last year led to a 18.3 percentage point drop in the company’s operating margin

MGP Ingredients is trading at $24.49 per share, or 10.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including MGPI in your portfolio.

American Express Global Business Travel (GBTG)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 1.40

Originally spun off from American Express in 2014 but maintaining the Amex GBT brand, Global Business Travel Group (NYSE: GBTG) provides end-to-end business travel and expense management solutions, connecting corporate clients with travel suppliers and offering specialized software services.

Why Should You Sell GBTG?

  1. Muted 5.3% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its software peers
  2. High servicing costs result in a relatively inferior gross margin of 61% that must be offset through increased usage
  3. Operating profits increased over the last year as the company gained some leverage on its fixed costs and became more efficient

American Express Global Business Travel’s stock price of $7.66 implies a valuation ratio of 1.2x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than GBTG.

Carrier Global (CARR)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 1.19

Founded by the inventor of air conditioning, Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR) manufactures heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products.

Why Do We Avoid CARR?

  1. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  2. Estimated sales growth of 1.5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

At $53.02 per share, Carrier Global trades at 19.2x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CARR doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  236.65
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  259.96
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  223.60
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  52.48
+0.00 (0.00%)
GOOG  336.31
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  615.52
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  459.38
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  183.16
+0.02 (0.01%)
ORCL  193.61
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  439.20
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.