ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Mid-Cap Stocks We Approach with Caution

NYT Cover Image

Mid-cap stocks often strike the right balance between having proven business models and market opportunities that can support $100 billion corporations. However, they face intense competition from scaled industry giants and can be disrupted by new innovative players vying for a slice of the pie.

These dynamics can rattle even the most seasoned professionals, which is why we started StockStory - to help you separate the good companies from the bad. That said, here are three mid-cap stocks to swipe left on and some alternatives you should look into instead.

The New York Times (NYT)

Market Cap: $11.65 billion

Founded in 1851, The New York Times (NYSE: NYT) is an American media organization known for its influential newspaper and expansive digital journalism platforms.

Why Do We Think NYT Will Underperform?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of subscribers has underwhelmed
  2. Subpar operating margin of 14.2% constrains its ability to invest in process improvements or effectively respond to new competitive threats
  3. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results

The New York Times is trading at $71.66 per share, or 27.3x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with NYT, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Five Below (FIVE)

Market Cap: $10.89 billion

Often facilitating a treasure hunt shopping experience, Five Below (NASDAQ: FIVE) is an American discount retailer that sells a variety of products from mobile phone cases to candy to sports equipment for largely $5 or less.

Why Does FIVE Fall Short?

  1. Subscale operations are evident in its revenue base of $4.43 billion, meaning it has fewer distribution channels than its larger rivals
  2. Gross margin of 35.4% is an output of its commoditized inventory
  3. Underwhelming 10.4% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities, and its decreasing returns suggest its historical profit centers are aging

At $197.41 per share, Five Below trades at 31.4x forward P/E. If you’re considering FIVE for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Builders FirstSource (BLDR)

Market Cap: $13.98 billion

Headquartered in Irving, TX, Builders FirstSource (NYSE: BLDR) is a construction materials manufacturer that offers a variety of lumber and lumber-related building products.

Why Does BLDR Give Us Pause?

  1. Annual sales declines of 4.9% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. Falling earnings per share over the last two years has some investors worried as stock prices ultimately follow EPS over the long term
  3. Diminishing returns on capital suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

Builders FirstSource’s stock price of $126.43 implies a valuation ratio of 20.5x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why BLDR doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.

The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  234.34
+3.03 (1.31%)
AAPL  248.35
+0.70 (0.28%)
AMD  253.73
+3.93 (1.57%)
BAC  52.45
+0.38 (0.73%)
GOOG  330.84
+2.46 (0.75%)
META  647.63
+34.67 (5.66%)
MSFT  451.14
+7.03 (1.58%)
NVDA  184.84
+1.52 (0.83%)
ORCL  178.18
+4.30 (2.47%)
TSLA  449.36
+17.92 (4.15%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.