ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Consumer Stocks We’re Skeptical Of

SHOO Cover Image

Most consumer discretionary businesses succeed or fail based on the broader economy. This volatility leads to big swings in stock prices that have worked in their favor recently - over the past six months, the industry has returned 14.8% and beat the S&P 500 by 4 percentage points.

Regardless of these results, investors should tread carefully as many companies in this space are unpredictable because they lack recurring revenue business models. Taking that into account, here are three consumer stocks we’re steering clear of.

Steven Madden (SHOO)

Market Cap: $3.19 billion

As seen in the infamous Wolf of Wall Street movie, Steven Madden (NASDAQ: SHOO) is a fashion brand famous for its trendy and innovative footwear, appealing to a young and style-conscious audience.

Why Do We Steer Clear of SHOO?

  1. 13.2% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its consumer discretionary peers
  2. Poor free cash flow margin of 7.8% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
  3. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results

At $43.84 per share, Steven Madden trades at 21.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including SHOO in your portfolio.

Funko (FNKO)

Market Cap: $193.2 million

Boasting partnerships with media franchises like Marvel and One Piece, Funko (NASDAQ: FNKO) is a company specializing in creating and distributing licensed pop culture collectibles.

Why Is FNKO Risky?

  1. Muted 7.7% annual revenue growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its consumer discretionary peers
  2. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value
  3. 7× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio shows it’s overleveraged and increases the probability of shareholder dilution if things turn unexpectedly

Funko’s stock price of $3.57 implies a valuation ratio of 5x forward EV-to-EBITDA. To fully understand why you should be careful with FNKO, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

AT&T (T)

Market Cap: $172.6 billion

Founded by Alexander Graham Bell, AT&T (NYSE: T) is a multinational telecomm conglomerate providing a range of communications and internet services.

Why Should You Dump T?

  1. Annual sales declines of 5.6% for the past five years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market
  2. Capital intensity will likely increase as its free cash flow margin is anticipated to drop by 2.3 percentage points over the next year
  3. Returns on capital are increasing as management makes relatively better investment decisions

AT&T is trading at $24.30 per share, or 11.4x forward P/E. If you’re considering T for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  239.16
+4.82 (2.06%)
AAPL  248.04
-0.31 (-0.12%)
AMD  259.68
+5.95 (2.35%)
BAC  51.72
-0.73 (-1.39%)
GOOG  328.43
-2.41 (-0.73%)
META  658.76
+11.13 (1.72%)
MSFT  465.95
+14.81 (3.28%)
NVDA  187.67
+2.83 (1.53%)
ORCL  177.16
-1.02 (-0.57%)
TSLA  449.06
-0.30 (-0.07%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.