ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Hyped Up Stocks with Open Questions

BURL Cover Image

The stocks featured in this article have all approached their 52-week highs. When these price levels hit, it typically signals strong business execution, positive market sentiment, or significant industry tailwinds.

However, not all companies with momentum are long-term winners, and many investors have lost money by following short-term trends. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks that are likely overheated and some you should look into instead.

Burlington (BURL)

One-Month Return: +18.4%

Founded in 1972 as a discount coat and outerwear retailer, Burlington Stores (NYSE: BURL) is now an off-price retailer that has broadened into general apparel, footwear, and home goods.

Why Is BURL Not Exciting?

  1. Annual sales growth of 9.3% over the last three years lagged behind its consumer retail peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
  2. 5.1 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last year reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
  3. Underwhelming 9% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities

Burlington is trading at $311.53 per share, or 29.1x forward P/E. If you’re considering BURL for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

General Motors (GM)

One-Month Return: +8.1%

Founded in 1908 by William C. Durant, General Motors (NYSE: GM) offers a range of vehicles and automobiles through brands such as Chevrolet, Buick, GMC, and Cadillac.

Why Are We Wary of GM?

  1. Underwhelming unit sales over the past two years show it’s struggled to increase its sales volumes and had to rely on price increases
  2. Estimated sales decline of 1% for the next 12 months implies a challenging demand environment
  3. High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 12.2% that must be offset through higher volumes

At $81.88 per share, General Motors trades at 7.5x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than GM.

Byline Bancorp (BY)

One-Month Return: +1%

Ranking as the fifth most active Small Business Administration lender in the country, Byline Bancorp (NYSE: BY) is a Chicago-based bank that provides banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, commercial real estate developers, and consumers.

Why Are We Cautious About BY?

  1. Muted 7.7% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its banking peers
  2. Net interest margin shrank by 21.3 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over the last two years, suggesting the profitability of its loan book is decreasing or the market is becoming more competitive
  3. Annual earnings per share growth of 2.3% underperformed its revenue over the last two years, showing its incremental sales were less profitable

Byline Bancorp’s stock price of $29.60 implies a valuation ratio of 1.1x forward P/B. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why BY doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  236.65
-5.95 (-2.45%)
AAPL  259.96
-1.09 (-0.42%)
AMD  223.60
+2.63 (1.19%)
BAC  52.48
-2.06 (-3.78%)
GOOG  336.31
-0.12 (-0.04%)
META  615.52
-15.57 (-2.47%)
MSFT  459.38
-11.29 (-2.40%)
NVDA  183.14
-2.67 (-1.44%)
ORCL  193.61
-8.68 (-4.29%)
TSLA  439.20
-8.00 (-1.79%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.