ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Small-Cap Stocks We’re Skeptical Of

MRCY Cover Image

Small-cap stocks can be incredibly lucrative investments because their lack of analyst coverage leads to frequent mispricings. However, these businesses (and their stock prices) often stay small because their subscale operations make it harder to expand their competitive moats.

Luckily for you, our mission at StockStory is to help you make money and avoid losses by sorting the winners from the losers. Keeping that in mind, here are three small-cap stocks to avoid and some other investments you should consider instead.

Mercury Systems (MRCY)

Market Cap: $4.82 billion

Founded in 1981, Mercury Systems (NASDAQ: MRCY) specializes in providing processing subsystems and components for primarily defense applications.

Why Should You Sell MRCY?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last five years, causing its operating margin to decline by 5.4 percentage points
  3. Earnings per share fell by 16.7% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, partly because it diluted shareholders

Mercury Systems’s stock price of $80.34 implies a valuation ratio of 76.2x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than MRCY.

Assured Guaranty (AGO)

Market Cap: $3.99 billion

Serving as a financial safety net for over $11 trillion in debt service payments since its founding in 2003, Assured Guaranty (NYSE: AGO) provides credit protection products that guarantee scheduled payments on municipal bonds, infrastructure projects, and structured finance obligations.

Why Is AGO Risky?

  1. 3.6% annual declines in net premiums earned for the past five years indicates policy sales struggled this cycle
  2. Forecasted revenue decline of 20% for the upcoming 12 months implies demand will fall even further
  3. Underwhelming 7.8% return on equity reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities

Assured Guaranty is trading at $86.63 per share, or 0.7x forward P/B. If you’re considering AGO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Flagstar Financial (FLG)

Market Cap: $5.81 billion

Tracing its roots back to 1859 and rebranded from New York Community Bancorp in 2024, Flagstar Financial (NYSE: FLG) is a bank holding company that offers commercial and consumer banking services, with specialties in multi-family lending, mortgage originations, and warehouse lending.

Why Do We Steer Clear of FLG?

  1. Muted 9.4% annual net interest income growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its banking peers
  2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last four years as its efficiency ratio increased by 51.7 percentage points
  3. Earnings per share fell by 16.4% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable

At $13.94 per share, Flagstar Financial trades at 0.8x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including FLG in your portfolio.

Stocks We Like More

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  198.49
-1.11 (-0.56%)
AAPL  255.94
-5.79 (-2.21%)
AMD  207.12
+1.18 (0.57%)
BAC  52.36
-0.16 (-0.30%)
GOOG  305.59
-3.78 (-1.22%)
META  641.22
-8.59 (-1.32%)
MSFT  400.56
-1.27 (-0.32%)
NVDA  182.08
-4.86 (-2.60%)
ORCL  159.77
+3.29 (2.10%)
TSLA  417.57
+0.50 (0.12%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.