ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

2 Value Stocks to Target This Week and 1 Facing Headwinds

LYFT Cover Image

Value investing has produced some of the world’s most famous investing billionaires, including Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, and Seth Klarman, who built their fortunes by purchasing wonderful businesses at reasonable prices. But these hidden gems are few and far between - many stocks that appear cheap often stay that way because they face structural issues.

Separating the winners from the value traps is a tough challenge, and that’s where StockStory comes in. Our job is to find you high-quality companies that will stand the test of time. That said, here are two value stocks trading at big discounts to their intrinsic values and one best left ignored.

One Value Stock to Sell:

Churchill Downs (CHDN)

Forward P/E Ratio: 13.2x

Famous for hosting the Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs (NASDAQ: CHDN) operates a horse racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment business in the United States.

Why Do We Avoid CHDN?

  1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 10.1% annual growth was below the typical consumer discretionary company
  2. Ability to fund investments or reward shareholders with increased buybacks or dividends is restricted by its weak free cash flow margin of 10.8% for the last two years
  3. Unchanged returns on capital make it difficult for the company’s valuation multiple to re-rate

Churchill Downs’s stock price of $92.64 implies a valuation ratio of 13.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering CHDN for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Two Value Stocks to Watch:

Lyft (LYFT)

Forward EV/EBITDA Ratio: 7x

Founded by Logan Green and John Zimmer as a long-distance intercity carpooling company Zimride, Lyft (NASDAQ: LYFT) operates a ridesharing network in the US and Canada.

Why Will LYFT Beat the Market?

  1. Has the opportunity to boost monetization through new features and premium offerings as its active riders have grown by 12.2% annually over the last two years
  2. Additional sales over the last three years increased its profitability as the 64.1% annual growth in its earnings per share outpaced its revenue
  3. Free cash flow margin grew by 26.3 percentage points over the last few years, giving the company more chips to play with

Lyft is trading at $13.80 per share, or 7x forward EV/EBITDA. Is now the right time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Capital One (COF)

Forward P/E Ratio: 10.1x

Starting as a credit card company in 1988 before expanding into a full-service bank, Capital One (NYSE: COF) is a financial services company that offers credit cards, auto loans, banking services, and commercial lending to consumers and businesses.

Why Does COF Stand Out?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 20.8% over the past two years was outstanding, reflecting market share gains this cycle
  2. Incremental sales significantly boosted profitability as its annual earnings per share growth of 27.6% over the last five years outstripped its revenue performance
  3. ROE of 10.4% shows management can invest its resources competently

At $209.75 per share, Capital One trades at 10.1x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  208.56
+3.29 (1.60%)
AAPL  272.14
+5.96 (2.24%)
AMD  213.84
+17.24 (8.77%)
BAC  50.41
-0.66 (-1.29%)
GOOG  310.92
-0.77 (-0.25%)
META  639.30
+2.05 (0.32%)
MSFT  389.00
+4.53 (1.18%)
NVDA  192.85
+1.30 (0.68%)
ORCL  146.14
+4.83 (3.42%)
TSLA  409.38
+9.55 (2.39%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.