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3 Mid-Cap Stocks We’re Skeptical Of

ⓘ This article is third-party content and does not represent the views of this site. We make no guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness.

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Many investors pay attention to mid-cap stocks because they have established business models and expansive market opportunities. However, their paths to becoming $100 billion corporations are ripe with competition, ranging from giants with vast resources to agile upstarts eager to disrupt the status quo.

This is precisely where StockStory comes in - we do the heavy lifting to identify companies with solid fundamentals so you can invest with confidence. Keeping that in mind, here are three mid-cap stocks to swipe left on and some alternatives you should look into instead.

International Paper (IP)

Market Cap: $19.63 billion

Established in 1898, International Paper (NYSE: IP) produces containerboard, pulp, paper, and materials used in packaging and printing applications.

Why Do We Think IP Will Underperform?

  1. Annual sales growth of 3.9% over the last five years lagged behind its industrials peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
  2. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 7.4 percentage points
  3. Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned

International Paper is trading at $36.91 per share, or 21.9x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including IP in your portfolio.

Moderna (MRNA)

Market Cap: $20.66 billion

Rising to global prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic with one of the first effective vaccines, Moderna (NASDAQ: MRNA) develops messenger RNA (mRNA) medicines that direct the body's cells to produce proteins with therapeutic or preventive benefits for various diseases.

Why Should You Sell MRNA?

  1. Annual sales declines of 46.7% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 30.2% annually while its revenue grew
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 178.4 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

At $52.14 per share, Moderna trades at 9.6x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with MRNA, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Reinsurance Group of America (RGA)

Market Cap: $13.85 billion

Operating behind the scenes of the insurance industry since 1973, Reinsurance Group of America (NYSE: RGA) provides life and health reinsurance services to insurance companies, helping them manage risk and meet regulatory requirements.

Why Does RGA Fall Short?

  1. Net premiums earned only expanded by 6.9% annually over the last two years, trailing its insurance peers as its scale limited incremental business
  2. Flat book value per share over the last five years suggest it must find different ways to enhance shareholder value during this cycle
  3. Book value per share is projected to decrease by 11.8% over the next 12 months as capital generation weakens

Reinsurance Group of America’s stock price of $211.32 implies a valuation ratio of 0.9x forward P/B. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than RGA.

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