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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

FAST Q3 Deep Dive: Pricing Pace Slows, Share Gains Offset Soft Industrial Market

FAST Cover Image

Industrial supplier Fastenal (NASDAQ: FAST) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 11.7% year on year to $2.13 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.29 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy FAST? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Fastenal (FAST) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.13 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.13 billion (11.7% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.29 vs analyst estimates of $0.30 (in line)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $485.1 million vs analyst estimates of $495.9 million (22.7% margin, 2.2% miss)
  • Operating Margin: 20.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 8.7% year on year (11.8% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $48.6 billion

StockStory’s Take

Fastenal’s third quarter was met with a negative market reaction, with shares trading lower following the company’s earnings release. Management attributed the results to solid execution in a sluggish industrial environment, highlighting double-digit top-line growth that was largely self-driven through market share gains, particularly with national accounts and expansion into new customer segments. CEO Daniel Florness described the operating context as “a pretty fluid environment,” noting that delayed pricing actions and ongoing tariff uncertainty weighed on segment performance. The company emphasized improved product availability, especially in fasteners, and cited effective cost management as key to maintaining operating margins despite end-market weakness.

Looking forward, Fastenal’s guidance is shaped by continued uncertainty around trade policy and tariffs, which management believes could limit visibility into demand trends. CFO Sheryl Lisowski cautioned that, while internal momentum remains strong, the company has “limited visibility and share[s] our customers’ uncertainty over how current trade policy may impact demand in 2025.” Management expects incremental pricing actions to continue, but notes that the pace is likely to be slower than previously anticipated, with a focus on customer retention and supply chain flexibility. The company is prioritizing technology investment, product diversification, and deeper integration with existing customers to support growth amid ongoing market volatility.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management pointed to market share gains, product availability improvements, and cost discipline as the main drivers of performance in the latest quarter, while also noting the impact of delayed pricing actions and continued tariff pressures.

  • Share gains with large accounts: Fastenal reported double-digit growth with national accounts, driven by deeper penetration into existing customer sites and successful onboarding of new high-spend clients. Management highlighted contract wins with major manufacturers and expansion in nontraditional markets, such as healthcare and logistics, as key contributors to revenue growth.
  • Fastener inventory initiative: The company’s focused investment in fastener inventory availability led to over 15% growth in fastener sales in September, outpacing overall company growth and providing a noticeable lift to gross margin. This initiative improved efficiency at branches and increased service levels for customers, supporting both volume and profitability.
  • Digital sales momentum: Fastenal’s digital footprint, which includes vending solutions (FMI) and e-business sales, accounted for over 61% of total sales in Q3. Daily sales through FMI devices grew nearly 18% year-on-year, signaling ongoing adoption of technology-driven solutions by customers seeking automation and integration.
  • Tariff-driven pricing adjustments: Significant tariffs on products from China and steel-derived goods required Fastenal to enact incremental pricing actions. However, management noted that the pace of these increases was slower than planned due to customer negotiations and ongoing trade policy uncertainty, resulting in a reduced pricing contribution for the quarter.
  • SG&A and performance pay: Employee-related expenses increased due to higher performance-based compensation, reflecting improved financial performance and changes to bonus programs. Management indicated that these costs were partly offset by leverage in other expense categories, but acknowledged continued pressure from base pay adjustments and incentive resets.

Drivers of Future Performance

Fastenal’s outlook is shaped by persistent trade policy uncertainty, evolving pricing strategies, and ongoing investments in technology and inventory to drive growth and defend margins.

  • Tariff and trade policy risk: Management emphasized that ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy and tariff litigation could impact customer demand and pricing strategies in upcoming quarters. The company expects to continue incremental pricing actions, but the timing and magnitude will depend on external developments and customer acceptance.
  • Continued digital and inventory investment: Fastenal is increasing capital spending on digital capabilities, automated picking technology, and expanded inventory in key hubs. These investments are intended to improve service for large accounts, enable faster delivery, and support additional share gains in both traditional and nontraditional markets.
  • Margin management challenges: Management expects gross margins to remain relatively flat year-on-year, with some risk of margin compression in the fourth quarter due to rising costs and slower realization of pricing benefits. The company is focused on balancing SG&A discipline with strategic investments to sustain profitability in a challenging environment.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and effectiveness of incremental pricing actions as trade policy evolves, (2) the continued adoption of Fastenal’s digital and vending solutions among large and nontraditional customers, and (3) whether margin discipline can be maintained amid higher labor costs and inventory investments. The company’s ability to diversify its customer base and manage supply chain volatility will also be critical markers of execution.

Fastenal currently trades at $42.62, down from $45.80 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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