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  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Home Builders Stocks Q4 Highlights: Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL)

TOL Cover Image

Earnings results often indicate what direction a company will take in the months ahead. With Q4 behind us, let’s have a look at Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) and its peers.

Traditionally, homebuilders have built competitive advantages with economies of scale that lead to advantaged purchasing and brand recognition among consumers. Aesthetic trends have always been important in the space, but more recently, energy efficiency and conservation are driving innovation. However, these companies are still at the whim of the macro, specifically interest rates that heavily impact new and existing home sales. In fact, homebuilders are one of the most cyclical subsectors within industrials.

The 12 home builders stocks we track reported a slower Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.4%.

Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 8.1% since the latest earnings results.

Weakest Q4: Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)

Started by two brothers who started by building and selling just one home in Pennsylvania, today Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) is a luxury homebuilder across the United States.

Toll Brothers reported revenues of $1.86 billion, down 4.6% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 2.9%. Overall, it was a disappointing quarter for the company with a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.

Toll Brothers Total Revenue

The stock is down 13.1% since reporting and currently trades at $106.05.

Read our full report on Toll Brothers here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Champion Homes (NYSE: SKY)

Founded in 1951, Champion Homes (NYSE: SKY) is a manufacturer of modular homes and buildings in North America.

Champion Homes reported revenues of $644.9 million, up 15.3% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 9.2%. The business had an incredible quarter with a solid beat of analysts’ sales volume estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Champion Homes Total Revenue

However, the results were likely priced into the stock as it’s traded sideways since reporting. Shares currently sit at $93.36.

Is now the time to buy Champion Homes? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Lennar (NYSE: LEN)

One of the largest homebuilders in America, Lennar (NYSE: LEN) is known for constructing affordable, move-up, and retirement homes across a range of markets and communities.

Lennar reported revenues of $9.95 billion, down 9.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 1.9%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

Lennar delivered the slowest revenue growth in the group. As expected, the stock is down 15.8% since the results and currently trades at $118.94.

Read our full analysis of Lennar’s results here.

Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC)

Named “America’s Most Trusted Home Builder” in 2019, Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC) builds single family homes and communities across the United States.

Taylor Morrison Home reported revenues of $2.36 billion, up 16.7% year on year. This result surpassed analysts’ expectations by 9.5%. Overall, it was a strong quarter as it also produced a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Taylor Morrison Home scored the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The stock is down 5.4% since reporting and currently trades at $58.99.

Read our full, actionable report on Taylor Morrison Home here, it’s free.

NVR (NYSE: NVR)

Known for its unique land acquisition strategy, NVR (NYSE: NVR) is a respected homebuilder and mortgage company in the United States.

NVR reported revenues of $2.85 billion, up 17% year on year. This print beat analysts’ expectations by 2.3%. More broadly, it was a satisfactory quarter as it also produced a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ backlog estimates.

The stock is down 14.3% since reporting and currently trades at $7,187.

Read our full, actionable report on NVR here, it’s free.


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