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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
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  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Why Commvault (CVLT) Shares Are Plunging Today

CVLT Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of data protection software company Commvault (NASDAQ: CVLT) fell 5.5% in the afternoon session after the company announced its intention to offer $750 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2030. 

This type of offering often raises concerns among investors about potential future share dilution, as the notes can be converted into the company's common stock, which would increase the total number of shares outstanding and reduce the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. The offering is being made to qualified institutional buyers. Commvault stated it plans to use a portion of the proceeds to buy back up to $125 million of its own shares and to fund capped call transactions, which are designed to reduce potential dilution from the conversion of the notes. The remaining proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Commvault? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

What Is The Market Telling Us

Commvault’s shares are quite volatile and have had 18 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 19 days ago when the stock dropped 4.7% on the news that a hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation report revived concerns about persistent inflation and tempered hopes for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for July jumped 3.3% from a year earlier, surprising economists who had forecasted a 2.5% rate. This data revived concerns about persistent inflation and forced traders to reconsider the likelihood of a near-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. High-growth technology stocks, which dominate the SaaS landscape, are particularly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.

Commvault is up 16.3% since the beginning of the year, and at $176.94 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $193.37 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Commvault’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $4,050.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

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