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Friday afternoon will be milder before an incoming cold front delivers some frigid air for the weekend. There's a chance for spotty, brief showers.



Brr! Cold front will deliver chilly days beginning this weekend 

Hello everyone. I'm meteorologist Mike Mays in the WRL Sevier Weather Center with our forecast update for this Friday evening. We have an Arctic cold front moving on by, possibly producing some early light rain across the area, but then later this evening and overnight, temperatures tumble, the winds pick up. Winds could gust 30 MPH overnight. That'll drive the windshield down to 27 by 1121 by 3, and by the morning wind. Chills here in the triangle should be in the upper teens up in southern Virginia. Wind chills could be colder than that, but notice by daybreak we expect about 25 for our low. So this is an Arctic air mass that we'll be building in. Roxboro has a low around 2023 at Rocky Mount 26 in Fayetteville, and we have many cold mornings ahead. Wait till you see the 7 day forecast. Forecast wind chill at 7 a.m., 13 at Roxboro 11 and. South Hill 19 at Fayetteville, 18 at Goldsboro. So if you're gonna be out and about early in the morning, make sure you're dressed in layers and protect yourself from the cold because it's gonna stay that way all day. Bright and cold start in the morning, 25 below, 28 by 9, 11 a.m. or up to about 34. An hour by hour tomorrow if you have a fireplace, keep it cranking, keep the wood in there, or a high only around 41, but with the wind. It'll likely feel still like the 30s by the time we get to 41 in the afternoon. So we're tracking two systems. The first one is our cold front bringing in the cold air for the weekend. The second is the one now finally over land, and as I mentioned all week, once it got over land, there'll be better sampling of the atmosphere due to weather balloons. That info goes into computer models. We get a better idea of what's going on. Well, now the models have shifted, at least the European has, to a little bit more wintry precipitation being possible for the day, or I should say late. and evening and overnight on Sunday. So let's check out the European model. Saturday is great. It's just full of sunshine and breezy. Here comes the cloud cover. By lunchtime on Sunday, we see a little light area of snow and sleet. The pink is the sleet, the blue is the snow. There could even be a little bit of freezing rain mixed in. Now this is a low resolution model, so it just looks like there's a whole lot of frozen precipitation, but it probably won't be a whole lot. Our northern counties by Sunday afternoon at 5 o'clock could be looking at some ice pellets, some snowflakes, the The area possibly just some sprinkles. By 10 o'clock, still some frozen precipitation up to the north. Now where the America model differs, it has no precipitation across southern Virginia in the morning on Monday, just rain off to the west moving through the mountains. The model, at least the European, may be a little too cold. Notice how the warm fronts up to the north. This whole sector here from Virginia Beach and Richmond may end up just being rain. We'll have to watch that ends up being the case. We'll have new high resolution model data coming out during the day. Tomorrow. So for the majority of the area, it's just going to be in the form of rain. If there is any freezing rain up in southern Virginia, it would be a very light amount during the morning on Monday. And then there could be some wraparound moisture, uh, moisture chasing the cold air or cold air chasing the moisture really tends not to bring a whole lot of frozen precipitation, but we'll watch to see if there could be some snowflakes, uh, at the end of the event as we head into the evening on Monday. That would really be cool to see. Rainfall totals 0.5 inch to 6.1 of an inch per what we're seeing on the models. So our forecast tonight. Breezy and colder clearing overnight. Lows will be in the low to mid-20s, and then for the day tomorrow, breezy and colder, upper 30s to low 40s. It will be a very cold day. So we're watching out for rain on Monday, 51 here in the triangle, and dry and cold Tuesday through Friday of next week with lows in the teens and 20s, 36 still the high on Thursday. That's our forecast update. Have a great night.

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