ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

META Stock Has Fallen 15% This Month, but Wedbush Says It Can Soar 50% from Here

Meta Platforms (META) has seen its stock drop roughly 15% this month as investors digest the company's aggressive spending plans. However, Wedbush Securities remains bullish on META stock with a $920 price target, indicating an upside potential of 50% from current levels. 

The investment firm added Meta to its “Best Ideas” list, arguing the recent selloff has created an attractive entry point despite near-term concerns about rising expenses and capital expenditures. Valued at a market capitalization of $1.54 trillion, META stock has increased by 445% over the last three years. Despite these outsized gains, it trades 23% below all-time highs. 

 

The pullback follows Meta's third-quarter earnings report, which showed revenue climbing 26% year-over-year (YoY) and beating analyst expectations. However, operating costs surged even faster at 32%, raising questions about the margin trajectory. Meta also warned that capital spending will be substantially higher next year as it accelerates its investments in artificial intelligence and expands its data center infrastructure. 

The social media giant raised the lower end of its 2025 capital expenditure guidance to a range of $70 billion to $72 billion, up from the previous $66 billion to $72 billion. Quarterly profit took a significant hit from a roughly $16 billion one-time charge related to President Trump's tax legislation. 

Wedbush analysts emphasize that Meta's heavy spending has been justified, citing meaningful improvements across its advertising systems and content recommendation engines resulting from AI integration.

The firm highlighted robust growth in Meta's core advertising business, positive developments around Meta AI and Superintelligence Labs, and momentum from new AI-driven hardware launches as key reasons for optimism.

www.barchart.com

Is Meta a Good Buy Right Now?

Meta Platforms is positioning itself at the forefront of artificial intelligence development through its newly formed Superintelligence Labs, which CEO Mark Zuckerberg claims has achieved the highest talent density in the industry. 

The company is aggressively front-loading infrastructure capacity to prepare for potential breakthroughs in superintelligence, as it expects the upside to justify the investment risk even if the technology takes longer to materialize.

Meta revealed plans for its first gigawatt-plus data center cluster launching next year under the code name Prometheus. The company has another five-gigawatt project in development that could scale to that capacity if needed. 

The AI strategy centers on delivering deeply personalized experiences across Meta's family of apps. The company's recommendation systems are already showing strong results, increasing the time spent on Facebook by 5% and on Threads by 10% during the third quarter. Video content continues to drive engagement, with Instagram video time up over 30% YoY. Notably, Reels alone generates over $50 billion in annual revenue run rate.

Meta's advertising business continues to benefit from AI improvements in ranking systems. The company has unified different models into simpler, more general systems that deliver better performance and efficiency. 

Revenue running through completely end-to-end AI-powered advertising tools has surpassed $60 billion annually. The long-term vision involves combining three major AI systems that currently run Facebook, Instagram, and advertising recommendations into a single unified system.

Business AI represents another major opportunity, with people engaging in over 1 billion active messaging threads daily with business accounts across Meta's platforms. Improved models will enable tens of millions of businesses to scale customer conversations and drive sales more efficiently at lower costs, creating a substantial revenue opportunity as the technology matures.

What Is the META Stock Price Target?

Analysts forecast that Meta's sales will increase from $164.5 billion in 2024 to $347.58 billion in 2029, indicating an annual growth rate of 16%. During this period, adjusted earnings per share are forecast to increase by 10% annually, from $23.86 per share to $38.26 per share. 

Over the last 10 years, META stock has traded at an average price-to-earnings multiple of 24.5 times, with an annual earnings growth rate of 22%. If we assume META stock to trade at 15x earnings, it should be priced at $575 in late 2028, which is below the current trading price of $619. 

Out of the 57 analysts covering META stock, 45 recommend “Strong Buy,” three recommend “Moderate Buy,” eight recommend “Hold,” and one recommends “Strong Sell.” The average META stock price target is $843.94, indicating a potential upside of almost 40%.

www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Aditya Raghunath did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

More news from Barchart

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  234.69
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  272.41
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  246.81
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  52.61
+0.00 (0.00%)
GOOG  276.98
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  609.46
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  510.18
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  190.17
+0.00 (0.00%)
ORCL  222.85
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  404.35
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.