ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Weighing Up Micron Technology (Bulls Vs. Bears)

Like most tech stocks, Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) has been sold off heavily over the last year. The company is currently down -37.69% YTD, and with the specter of a possible recession forming on the horizon, it could fall to lower levels due to lower consumer demand for semiconductors. This sell-off has led some investors to wonder if the company is undervalued at current levels and if parking money in MU will yield above-average returns compared to its sector competitors or the broader market. In this article, we'll examine both sides of the bull and bear case to give our readers the complete picture.

What The Bulls Say About Micron

In his most recent article on the company, my colleague Thomas Hughes outlined NASDAQ: MU">part of the bull case for MU. Hughes stated MU is trading at a relatively inexpensive valuation compared to its competitors in the same sector. The business trades at approximately 7X its earnings compared to 11X to 12X for other semiconductor stocks. Hughes also touched on the safety of the company's dividend and its upside potential for recovery. MU currently has a 46.54% upside from analysts at the time of writing, with a consensus price target of $87.42.

There are a couple of growth metrics where MU shines as well. The company's FWD EBITDA growth and FWD EPS Diluted Growth figures are all well above the sector medians. The company's FWD EBITDA growth stands at 24.30% while the sector median is at 22.51%. Its FWD EPS Diluted Growth is 34.52%, while the sector median stands at 15.52%. 

What The Bears Say About Micron 

However, despite these promising metrics, there are some areas where the stock is comparatively weaker than the sector medians. Over the last three months, there have been numerous revisions to its EPS and revenue growth estimates. There have been 26 EPS down revisions and 25 revenue down revisions. 

Over the short term, the company has also underperformed the S&P 500 considerably. In the last six months, the company delivered a negative return of -27.22%, while the S&P delivered a negative return of 9.86%. Over five years, MU beat the S&P 500, delivering a positive return of 100.13% and the S&P 500 58.25%.

Micron Technology Vs. Analog Devices Inc

Analog Devices Inc (NASDAQ: ADI) is a strong competitor to MU in the semiconductor industry and IT sector. The companies have a similar market cap with 66.35B for MU and 84.75B for ADI, respectively. ADI has outperformed MU over the last three years in terms of return. ADI's three-year return stands at 39.85%, while MU has a three-year return of 26.36%. The return over the last ten years is much more in favor for MU as it has a return of 908.51%, while ADI has a 10-year return of 432.06%.

Regarding dividends, ADI is the clear favorite with a higher rate and yield along with 18 years of consecutive dividend growth. The dividend rate of ADI is $2.90, and MU's rate is $0.42. The payout ratio for MU and ADI stands at 4.46% and 37.23%, respectively.

On the other hand, for valuation MU is relatively cheaper than ADI. MU's FWD P/E ratio is 7.61, while ADI has an FWD P/E ratio of 30.55.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  226.50
-4.32 (-1.87%)
AAPL  271.01
-0.85 (-0.31%)
AMD  223.47
+9.31 (4.35%)
BAC  55.95
+0.95 (1.73%)
GOOG  315.32
+1.52 (0.48%)
META  650.41
-9.68 (-1.47%)
MSFT  472.94
-10.68 (-2.21%)
NVDA  188.85
+2.35 (1.26%)
ORCL  195.71
+0.80 (0.41%)
TSLA  438.07
-11.65 (-2.59%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.