ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Williams-Sonoma Stock: Buy It and Never Let It Go

Williams Sonoma logo on smartphone

Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) offers everything an investor could want and more, making it a stock worthy of buy-and-hold status. Its quality is centered on the brand and operations, which CEO Laura Alber stewards. The results of her tenure include growth, operational improvement, market share gain, increased brand loyalty, and robust cash flow, allowing for sustained re-investment in the business while maintaining a fortress balance sheet and a healthy capital return.

Regarding capital returns, the payment from Williams-Sonoma is about as good as it gets, including an attractive dividend and count-reducing share buybacks.

Among the FQ3 earnings report highlights is a $5 billion increase in the existing authorization, worth about 30% of the pre-release market cap and instrumental in the market's response. The market surged more than 20% to near-record highs and will likely trend higher over the next year. Other highlights include noteworthy mentions of revenue and earnings trends and increased guidance, likely to be cautious given the trends. 

Williams-Sonoma Has Beat-and-Raise Quarter, Widens Margin

Williams-Sonoma had a solid quarter, revealing the resilience of its consumer base and the impact of Ms. Alber’s work over the past few years. The company’s revenue is contracting on lower comps due to headwinds and the post-COVID letdown. Still, the $1.8 billion is down only 2.7% and outpaced the consensus estimate reported by MarketBeat. Segmentally, most segments' revenue was down, with Pottery Barn leading at 7.5%. West Elm fell 3.5%, and the core Williams-Sonoma brand only 0.1%. Pottery Barn Kids, a source of persistent strength, grew by 3.8%. 

Margin news is even better. The company widened its gross margin on price realization, lower cost of goods, and operational improvements. The merchandise margin improved by 130 bps, and the supply chain improved by 100, driving a 230-based increase in the gross margin. Increased SG&A offset the gain to a degree, but not completely. The operating margin widened by 80 basis points to 17.8%, above the high end of the long-term target range. The critical detail is that the adjusted EPS of $1.96 outpaced the consensus by $0.19 or nearly 1100 basis points and grew 7.1% compared to the top-line contraction. 

The guidance is icing on the investment cake. The company raised its revenue and margin guidance for the year because of revenue and margin trends. The company expects revenue to contract only 3% to 1.5%, raising the low end of the range by 100 bps and for a margin of 17.8% to 18.2%, up 40 basis points from the previous guide. 

Williams-Sonoma Has Cash Flow and a Balance Sheet to Be Envious Of

Williams-Sonoma has cash flow and a balance sheet any company would envy. The quarterly and YTD cash flow allowed the company to increase its cash position compared to last year while returning more than $600 million to investors. The capital return includes $73 million in dividends and $533 million in buybacks, reducing the count by 2% for the quarter.

The pace of buybacks is expected to continue robustly as the year progresses, and in 2025, nothing on the balance sheet suggests otherwise. Details show cash, inventory, current, and total assets rising, liability and debt relatively flat, leverage low with total liability about 1.6x equity and equity rising. Shareholder equity increased by 5%. 

The price action in WSM stock is robust in the premarket session following the earnings release. The market is up more than 20%, showing robust support at the bottom of a trading range and the potential to set new highs.

The critical resistance is near $175 and will likely be broken soon. A move above $175 would signal a continuation of the trend begun in 2023 and likely take the market up to the $200 level, as indicated by the technical projections

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  220.69
+3.55 (1.63%)
AAPL  271.49
+5.24 (1.97%)
AMD  203.78
-2.24 (-1.09%)
BAC  51.56
+0.56 (1.10%)
GOOG  299.65
+9.67 (3.33%)
META  594.25
+5.10 (0.87%)
MSFT  472.12
-6.31 (-1.32%)
NVDA  178.88
-1.76 (-0.97%)
ORCL  198.76
-11.93 (-5.66%)
TSLA  391.09
-4.14 (-1.05%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.