OFG Bancorp’s third quarter results came in below Wall Street expectations, with management attributing the underperformance mainly to higher deposit costs and a moderation in auto loan originations. CEO José Rafael Fernández noted that while commercial loan growth remained a strategic focus, repayments on lines of credit and planned slowdowns in auto loans weighed on net loan balances. The company’s Digital First initiative drove increased adoption of digital channels, while new product offerings such as the Libre and Elite accounts contributed to deposit growth. However, the negative market reaction reflected investor concerns around rising funding costs and the impact of selective charge-offs in the commercial loan portfolio.
Is now the time to buy OFG? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
OFG Bancorp (OFG) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $186.2 million vs analyst estimates of $187 million (6.5% year-on-year growth, in line)
- Adjusted EPS: $1.16 vs analyst expectations of $1.17 (0.9% miss)
- Adjusted Operating Income: $61.37 million vs analyst estimates of $89.7 million (33% margin, 31.6% miss)
- Market Capitalization: $1.74 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From OFG Bancorp’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Erin Cyganovich (Truist): Asked about the drivers behind rising deposit costs, to which CEO José Rafael Fernández explained that higher savings rates were a deliberate strategy to attract and deepen relationships with affluent clients, especially through the Elite account.
- Timur Braziler (Wells Fargo): Queried the credit quality in the commercial loan portfolio, particularly on the U.S. mainland, and Fernández responded that recent charge-offs were idiosyncratic and tied to proactive risk management rather than broader market issues.
- Kelly Motta (KBW): Sought clarity on net interest margin forecasts and the impact of Federal Reserve rate changes. CFO Maritza Arizmendi noted that margin guidance reflects recent rate cuts and deposit inflows, with further variability linked to the funding mix.
- Kelly Motta (KBW): Also inquired about the pace and focus of share buybacks and capital deployment, and Fernández indicated buybacks would become more active given strong capital and earnings, but emphasized loan growth remains the top priority.
- Timur Braziler (Wells Fargo): Asked about the significance of new onshoring investments in Puerto Rico, and Fernández highlighted their potential to stimulate the local economy and support OFG’s commercial banking opportunities.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory analyst team will focus on (1) commercial loan origination trends and the sustainability of the pipeline, (2) the impact of deposit cost management and customer acquisition strategies on net interest margin, and (3) progress in deploying AI-driven efficiencies and digital capabilities. The evolving economic environment in Puerto Rico and the flow of new manufacturing investments will also be key indicators to watch.
OFG Bancorp currently trades at $39.26, down from $42.17 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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