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2 Reasons to Watch HIG and 1 to Stay Cautious

HIG Cover Image

Hartford currently trades at $124.27 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 1.1%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 21.3% gain during that period.

Is now the time to buy HIG? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Does Hartford Spark Debate?

Recognizable by its iconic stag logo that dates back to 1810, The Hartford (NYSE: HIG) provides property and casualty insurance, group benefits, and investment products to individuals and businesses across the United States.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Hartford’s EPS grew at a spectacular 20.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 6.3% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Hartford Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

2. Projected BVPS Growth Is Remarkable

The key to book value per share (BVPS) growth is an insurer’s ability to earn underwriting profits while generating strong returns on its float - Warren Buffet’s secret sauce.

Over the next 12 months, Consensus estimates call for Hartford’s BVPS to grow by 21.2% to $70.42, elite growth rate.

Hartford Quarterly Book Value per Share

One Reason to be Careful:

Net Premiums Earned Point to Soft Demand

When insurers sell policies, they protect themselves from extremely large losses or an outsized accumulation of losses with reinsurance (insurance for insurance companies). Net premiums earned are therefore gross premiums less what’s ceded to reinsurers as a risk mitigation and transfer strategy.

Hartford’s net premiums earned has grown at a 6.4% annualized rate over the last five years, slightly worse than the broader insurance industry and in line with its total revenue.

Hartford Trailing 12-Month Net Premiums Earned

Final Judgment

Hartford’s merits more than compensate for its flaws. With its shares underperforming the market lately, the stock trades at $124.27 per share (or a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.2×). Is now a good time to buy? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

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