
Sherwin-Williams delivered third-quarter results that exceeded market expectations, with management crediting disciplined cost control and targeted growth investments for outperformance despite ongoing softness in end-market demand. CEO Heidi Petz emphasized, “Our strategy continues to resonate with professional painting contractors and manufacturers who now more than ever are looking for partners that can provide them with predictability and reliability.” The company highlighted strong execution in its Paint Stores Group, citing market share gains and consistent results across protective, residential repaint, and commercial segments, even as overall demand remained sluggish.
Is now the time to buy SHW? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $6.36 billion vs analyst estimates of $6.2 billion (3.2% year-on-year growth, 2.6% beat)
- EPS (GAAP): $3.35 vs analyst estimates of $3.30 (1.5% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $1.36 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.33 billion (21.4% margin, 2.2% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $5.43 billion at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
- Operating Margin: 18.4%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Locations: 5,158 at quarter end, up from 5,063 in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue rose 2.8% year on year vs analyst estimates of flat growth (243.6 basis point beat)
- Market Capitalization: $85.19 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Sherwin-Williams’s Q3 Earnings Call
- Ghansham Panjabi (Baird) asked how Sherwin-Williams justified a 7% price increase given tepid demand. CFO Allen Mistysyn explained it was necessary to cover higher raw material and labor costs, while balancing volume growth and pricing effectiveness.
- Jeffrey Zekauskas (JPMorgan) inquired about the impact of mortgage rates on Paint Stores Group demand. Mistysyn said rates near 6% could stimulate demand, but affordability remains the main concern for homebuilders.
- Vincent Andrews (Morgan Stanley) questioned the efficiency of recent growth investments and criteria for adjusting spend. Mistysyn described a disciplined process for evaluating returns and said current investments are generating positive contributions even in a down market.
- John McNulty (BMO Capital Markets) asked about plans for the newly acquired Suvinil business. CEO Heidi Petz said integration is in early stages but expects operational and commercial synergies to drive profitability over time.
- Michael Harrison (Seaport Research Partners) sought details on contractor backlogs and visibility by submarket. Petz highlighted outperformance in commercial segments and noted that clear signs of sustained improvement are still lacking.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
Moving forward, the company’s ability to capture additional market share through new store openings and exclusive contracts, the effectiveness of recently announced price increases in offsetting input cost inflation, and early financial impacts from the integration of Suvinil in Latin America will be important to monitor. Progress on cost-saving initiatives and continued discipline in growth investments will also be important indicators to watch.
Sherwin-Williams currently trades at $345.64, up from $336.12 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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