ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Mid-Cap Stocks That Fall Short

BJ Cover Image

Many investors pay attention to mid-cap stocks because they have established business models and expansive market opportunities. However, their paths to becoming $100 billion corporations are ripe with competition, ranging from giants with vast resources to agile upstarts eager to disrupt the status quo.

These dynamics can rattle even the most seasoned professionals, which is why we started StockStory - to help you separate the good companies from the bad. That said, here are three mid-cap stocks to swipe left on and some alternatives you should look into instead.

BJ's (BJ)

Market Cap: $11.79 billion

Appealing to the budget-conscious individual shopping for a household, BJ’s Wholesale Club (NYSE: BJ) is a membership-only retail chain that sells groceries, appliances, electronics, and household items, often in bulk quantities.

Why Is BJ Not Exciting?

  1. Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
  2. Commoditized inventory, bad unit economics, and high competition are reflected in its low gross margin of 18.5%
  3. Subpar operating margin of 3.9% constrains its ability to invest in process improvements or effectively respond to new competitive threats

BJ’s stock price of $90.27 implies a valuation ratio of 20x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with BJ, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

MGM Resorts (MGM)

Market Cap: $10.05 billion

Operating several properties on the Las Vegas Strip, MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM) is a global hospitality and entertainment company known for its resorts and casinos.

Why Do We Avoid MGM?

  1. Sizable revenue base leads to growth challenges as its 6% annual revenue increases over the last two years fell short of other consumer discretionary companies
  2. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results
  3. 13× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio makes lenders less willing to extend additional capital, potentially necessitating dilutive equity offerings

MGM Resorts is trading at $36.57 per share, or 16.8x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including MGM in your portfolio.

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Market Cap: $18.61 billion

Founded in 1959, Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE: PKG) produces containerboard and corrugated packaging products as well as displays and package protection.

Why Are We Cautious About PKG?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 5.7% over the last five years was below our standards for the industrials sector
  2. Gross margin of 22.8% is below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in areas like marketing and R&D
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

At $203.49 per share, Packaging Corporation of America trades at 19.3x forward P/E. If you’re considering PKG for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  236.65
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  259.96
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  223.60
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  52.48
+0.00 (0.00%)
GOOG  336.31
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  615.52
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  459.38
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  183.16
+0.02 (0.01%)
ORCL  193.61
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  439.20
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.