ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Industrials Stocks in the Doghouse

BECN Cover Image

Industrials businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. But they are at the whim of volatile macroeconomic factors that sway capital spending, like interest rates. Wariness surrounding these influences has caused the industry to underperform the market as it was flat over the past six months while the S&P 500 climbed by 3.6%.

Some companies can grow regardless of the economic backdrop, but the odds aren’t great for the ones we’re analyzing today. Taking that into account, here are three industrials stocks that may face trouble.

Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN)

Market Cap: $6.84 billion

Established in 1928, Beacon Roofing Supply (NASDAQ: BECN) distributes residential and commercial roofing materials and complementary building products.

Why Does BECN Fall Short?

  1. Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
  2. Estimated sales growth of 3.8% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Earnings per share have dipped by 4.6% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term

At $120.60 per share, Beacon Roofing Supply trades at 14x forward price-to-earnings. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why BECN doesn’t pass our bar.

Titan Machinery (TITN)

Market Cap: $351.9 million

Founded in 1980, Titan Machinery (NASDAQ: TITN) is a distributor of agricultural and construction equipment across the United States and Europe.

Why Do We Avoid TITN?

  1. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 3.3% annually
  2. Free cash flow margin dropped by 5.8 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up
  3. Limited cash reserves may force the company to seek unfavorable financing terms that could dilute shareholders

Titan Machinery’s stock price of $15.35 implies a valuation ratio of 14.5x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including TITN in your portfolio.

Otis (OTIS)

Market Cap: $41.24 billion

Credited with inventing the first hydraulic passenger elevator, Otis Worldwide (NYSE: OTIS) is an elevator and escalator manufacturing, installation and service company.

Why Does OTIS Worry Us?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Projected sales are flat for the next 12 months, implying demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Gross margin of 29.1% is below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in areas like marketing and R&D

Otis is trading at $103 per share, or 25.8x forward price-to-earnings. To fully understand why you should be careful with OTIS, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Stocks We Like More

With rates dropping, inflation stabilizing, and the elections in the rearview mirror, all signs point to the start of a new bull run - and we’re laser-focused on finding the best stocks for this upcoming cycle.

Put yourself in the driver’s seat by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like United Rentals (+322% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.