ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks in the Doghouse

FFIV Cover Image

Wall Street has set ambitious price targets for the stocks in this article. While this suggests attractive upside potential, it’s important to remain skeptical because analysts face institutional pressures that can sometimes lead to overly optimistic forecasts.

At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. That said, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s enthusiasm may be misplaced and some other investments worth exploring instead.

F5 (FFIV)

Consensus Price Target: $242.86 (11.8% implied return)

Initially started as a hardware appliances company in the late 1990s, F5 (NASDAQ: FFIV) makes software that helps large enterprises ensure their web applications are always available by distributing network traffic and protecting them from cyberattacks.

Why Are We Hesitant About FFIV?

  1. Muted 2.7% annual revenue growth over the last three years shows its demand lagged behind its software peers
  2. Offerings struggled to generate meaningful interest as its average billings growth of 4.5% over the last year did not impress
  3. Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 4.3%

At $263.18 per share, F5 trades at 5.1x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with FFIV, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Covenant Logistics (CVLG)

Consensus Price Target: $35.67 (74.8% implied return)

Started with 25 trucks and 50 trailers, Covenant Logistics (NASDAQ: CVLG) is a provider of expedited long haul freight services, offering a range of logistics solutions.

Why Do We Pass on CVLG?

  1. Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 3.6% annually over the last two years
  2. Earnings per share have dipped by 17.8% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term
  3. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 22.2 percentage points

Covenant Logistics’s stock price of $19.45 implies a valuation ratio of 8.1x forward price-to-earnings. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including CVLG in your portfolio.

Schneider (SNDR)

Consensus Price Target: $31.94 (22.7% implied return)

Employing thousands of drivers across the country to make deliveries, Schneider (NYSE: SNDR) makes full truckload and intermodal deliveries regionally and across borders.

Why Should You Sell SNDR?

  1. Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 10.5% annually over the last two years
  2. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 11% annually
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

Schneider is trading at $22.39 per share, or 19.9x forward price-to-earnings. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than SNDR.

Stocks We Like More

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Axon (+711% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.