ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Industrials Stocks Showing Warning Signs

ARCB Cover Image

Industrials businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. But they are at the whim of volatile macroeconomic factors that influence capital spending (like interest rates), and the market seems convinced that demand will slow. Due to this bearish outlook, the industry has tumbled by 12.1% over the past six months. This performance was worse than the S&P 500’s 5.2% decline.

Investors should tread carefully as timing cyclical companies is a challenging task, and any misstep can have you catching a falling knife. With that said, here are three industrials stocks we’re passing on.

ArcBest (ARCB)

Market Cap: $1.35 billion

Historically owning furniture, banking, and other subsidiaries, ArcBest (NASDAQ: ARCB) offers full-truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal deliveries of freight.

Why Do We Pass on ARCB?

  1. Flat unit sales over the past two years imply it may need to invest in improvements to get back on track
  2. Earnings per share have dipped by 32.1% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

At $58.50 per share, ArcBest trades at 7.7x forward price-to-earnings. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why ARCB doesn’t pass our bar.

Vishay Precision (VPG)

Market Cap: $290.3 million

Emerging from Vishay Intertechnology in 2010, Vishay Precision (NYSE: VPG) operates as a global provider of precision measurement and sensing technologies.

Why Are We Out on VPG?

  1. Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 8.1% annually over the last two years
  2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last five years as its operating margin fell by 3.9 percentage points
  3. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 13.4% annually while its revenue grew

Vishay Precision is trading at $22.15 per share, or 20.4x forward price-to-earnings. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including VPG in your portfolio.

AGCO (AGCO)

Market Cap: $6.25 billion

With a history that features both organic growth and acquisitions, AGCO (NYSE: AGCO) designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural machinery and related technology.

Why Do We Steer Clear of AGCO?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last five years, causing its operating margin to decline by 7.6 percentage points
  3. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 40.8% annually while its revenue grew

AGCO’s stock price of $84.36 implies a valuation ratio of 19.9x forward price-to-earnings. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than AGCO.

Stocks We Like More

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Axon (+711% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.