ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stock on Our Buy List and 2 to Approach with Caution

BASE Cover Image

Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on the stocks in this article, with price targets suggesting significant upside potential. However, it’s worth remembering that analysts rarely issue sell ratings, partly because their firms often seek other business from the same companies they cover.

Luckily for you, we at StockStory have no conflicts of interest - our sole job is to help you find genuinely promising companies. Keeping that in mind, here is one stock where Wall Street’s positive outlook is supported by strong fundamentals and two where analysts may be overlooking some important risks.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Couchbase (BASE)

Consensus Price Target: $20.81 (17.9% implied return)

Formed in 2011 with the merger of Membase and CouchOne, Couchbase (NASDAQ: BASE) is a database-as-a-service platform that allows enterprises to store large volumes of semi-structured data.

Why Does BASE Worry Us?

  1. 19.2% annual revenue growth over the last three years was slower than its software peers
  2. Customer acquisition costs take a while to recoup, making it difficult to justify sales and marketing investments that could increase revenue
  3. Historical operating losses point to an inefficient cost structure

Couchbase’s stock price of $17.65 implies a valuation ratio of 4x forward price-to-sales. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including BASE in your portfolio.

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)

Consensus Price Target: $147.33 (135% implied return)

Pioneering treatments for a devastating childhood muscle-wasting disease that primarily affects boys, Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ: SRPT) develops and commercializes RNA-targeted therapies and gene therapies for rare genetic disorders, primarily Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Why Does SRPT Fall Short?

  1. Smaller revenue base of $1.90 billion means it hasn’t achieved the economies of scale that some industry juggernauts enjoy (but also enables it to grow faster if it executes properly)
  2. Free cash flow margin dropped by 22.7 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company increased its investment activities to fend off competitors
  3. Limited cash reserves may force the company to seek unfavorable financing terms that could dilute shareholders

At $62.62 per share, Sarepta Therapeutics trades at 5.6x forward price-to-earnings. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than SRPT.

One Stock to Buy:

Vertiv (VRT)

Consensus Price Target: $108.14 (20.8% implied return)

Formerly part of Emerson Electric, Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) manufactures and services infrastructure technology products for data centers and communication networks.

Why Will VRT Beat the Market?

  1. Core business can prosper without any help from acquisitions as its organic revenue growth averaged 18.5% over the past two years
  2. Free cash flow margin increased by 6.6 percentage points over the last five years, giving the company more capital to invest or return to shareholders
  3. Improving returns on capital reflect management’s ability to monetize investments

Vertiv is trading at $89.52 per share, or 22.9x forward price-to-earnings. Is now a good time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Sterling Infrastructure (+1,096% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.