Semiconductor company Semtech (NASDAQ: SMTC) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales rose 21.8% year on year to $251.1 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.38 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy SMTC? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

StockStory’s Take

Semtech’s latest quarterly results were shaped by ongoing demand across its key end markets, with particular momentum in data center and industrial applications. CEO Hong Hou credited growth to new product introductions and continued strength in the industrial IoT business, while also noting the company’s ability to adapt to dynamic tariff policies and execute on operational priorities. Hou highlighted that Semtech’s CopperEdge and FiberEdge solutions are addressing critical power and connectivity challenges in next-generation AI data centers, and that LoRa technology continues to gain traction in emerging markets such as healthcare and robotics. Management acknowledged that macroeconomic uncertainties and portfolio optimization timing remain challenges, but emphasized the company’s focus on margin improvement and innovation.

Looking ahead, Semtech’s guidance incorporates expectations for incremental growth in infrastructure and data center sales, balanced by a more cautious outlook for the industrial segment. Management anticipates that customer adoption of CopperEdge for AI connectivity and FiberEdge for optical networking will accelerate in the second half of the year, as several large customers complete qualification processes. CFO Mark Lin stated, “We expect sequential growth in infrastructure, with data center demand supported by ongoing capital expenditure from hyperscalers.” The company also expects continued expansion in its IoT cellular hardware portfolio and sees new product launches, such as LoRa Plus, unlocking additional applications. However, management cautioned that the timing of portfolio optimization initiatives may be impacted by broader macroeconomic factors, and highlighted ongoing efforts to manage operating expenses and drive margin expansion.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s performance to strong adoption of new connectivity products, momentum in the industrial IoT segment, and disciplined cost control, while also navigating external challenges like tariffs and shifting customer demand patterns.

• Data center traction: Semtech’s FiberEdge and CopperEdge products saw notable engagement, with FiberEdge supporting sequential growth despite a pause in demand from a key customer for CopperEdge. Demonstrations at industry events and customer qualification activities suggest increased adoption in AI-driven network applications.

• Industrial and IoT momentum: The industrial segment, particularly IoT systems, maintained robust year-over-year growth, helped by new customer wins and the displacement of competitors in China. The inclusion of a China-based competitor on a sanction list and another exiting the IoT cellular market provided additional tailwinds for Semtech’s hardware business.

• Product innovation: Recent launches, such as the third-generation 5G modules and LoRa Plus, reflect Semtech’s investment in R&D and commitment to expanding its portfolio. These products are designed to support broader 5G adoption and offer compatibility with multiple wireless protocols, targeting new markets like smart buildings and robotics.

• Margin expansion focus: Gross margin improvements were driven by favorable product mix and cost controls, but management acknowledged a one-off inventory event that temporarily affected margins in the IoT systems business. Adjusted operating expenses remained below the midpoint of outlook, supporting operating leverage.

• Portfolio optimization and external risks: While the company continues to prioritize strategic initiatives and margin growth, management cited macroeconomic uncertainty and project timing as factors that could delay some portfolio optimization efforts. Tariff management and customer diversification remain ongoing priorities.

Drivers of Future Performance

Semtech’s outlook is shaped by anticipated adoption of AI connectivity products, ongoing expansion in IoT hardware, and efforts to sustain margin improvements amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

• AI data center adoption: Management expects accelerated adoption of CopperEdge and FiberEdge products as hyperscaler and enterprise customers complete qualification and begin deploying these solutions for next-generation AI clusters. Volume ramps are anticipated in the latter part of the year, supported by industry capital spending.

• IoT and industrial growth: The IoT cellular portfolio is poised for continued growth, benefiting from competitor exits and increased 5G deployments, especially in North America. New products like LoRa Plus are designed to capture market share in emerging applications, though management noted that project-based variability may affect quarterly results.

• Margin management and external risks: The company is focused on expanding margins through product mix optimization and disciplined operating expense management. However, timing of portfolio optimization initiatives and broader macroeconomic factors, such as tariffs and global supply chain dynamics, could create headwinds for both revenue growth and profitability.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) successful customer qualification and volume deployment of CopperEdge and FiberEdge products in AI-optimized data centers, (2) execution of IoT hardware growth as bookings convert to revenue and new product introductions gain traction, and (3) progress on portfolio optimization initiatives amid external risks. We will also watch for margin trends as product mix evolves and cost management efforts continue.

Semtech currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.4×. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.