ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 Earnings

LCID Cover Image

Luxury electric car manufacturer Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales rose 36.1% year on year to $235 million. Its non-GAAP loss of $0.20 per share was 14.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Lucid? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Lucid (LCID) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $235 million vs analyst estimates of $237.1 million (36.1% year-on-year growth, 0.9% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: -$0.20 vs analyst estimates of -$0.23 (14.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: -$563.5 million vs analyst estimates of -$548.3 million (-240% margin, 2.8% miss)
  • Operating Margin: -294%, up from -423% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$589.9 million compared to -$714.9 million in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 58.1% year on year (39.9% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $7.19 billion

"We continued to build momentum in the first quarter as we achieved yet another delivery record, further strengthened our market position, and executed against operational priorities," said Marc Winterhoff, Interim CEO at Lucid.

Company Overview

Founded by a former Tesla Vice President, Lucid Group (NASDAQ: LCID) designs, manufactures, and sells luxury electric vehicles with long-range capabilities.

Sales Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Thankfully, Lucid’s 254% annualized revenue growth over the last four years was incredible. Its growth beat the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Lucid Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss cycles, industry trends, or a company capitalizing on catalysts such as a new contract win or a successful product line. Lucid’s annualized revenue growth of 11.5% over the last two years is below its four-year trend, but we still think the results suggest healthy demand. Lucid Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

Lucid also reports its number of units sold, which reached 3,109 in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Lucid’s units sold grew by 45% annually. Because this number is better than its revenue growth, we can see the company’s average selling price decreased. Lucid Units Sold

This quarter, Lucid pulled off a wonderful 36.1% year-on-year revenue growth rate, but its $235 million of revenue fell short of Wall Street’s rosy estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 122% over the next 12 months, an improvement versus the last two years. This projection is eye-popping and suggests its newer products and services will catalyze better top-line performance.

Software is eating the world and there is virtually no industry left that has been untouched by it. That drives increasing demand for tools helping software developers do their jobs, whether it be monitoring critical cloud infrastructure, integrating audio and video functionality, or ensuring smooth content streaming. Click here to access a free report on our 3 favorite stocks to play this generational megatrend.

Operating Margin

Lucid’s high expenses have contributed to an average operating margin of negative 496% over the last five years. Unprofitable industrials companies require extra attention because they could get caught swimming naked when the tide goes out. It’s hard to trust that the business can endure a full cycle.

On the plus side, Lucid’s operating margin rose over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage. Still, it will take much more for the company to reach long-term profitability.

This quarter, Lucid generated a negative 294% operating margin. The company's consistent lack of profits raise a flag.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Although Lucid’s full-year earnings are still negative, it reduced its losses and improved its EPS by 66.9% annually over the last four years. The next few quarters will be critical for assessing its long-term profitability. We hope to see an inflection point soon.

Lucid Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For Lucid, its two-year annual EPS growth of 12.3% was lower than its four-year trend. We still think its growth was good and hope it can accelerate in the future.

In Q1, Lucid reported EPS at negative $0.20, up from negative $0.28 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. We also like to analyze expected EPS growth based on Wall Street analysts’ consensus projections, but there is insufficient data.

Key Takeaways from Lucid’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Lucid blew past analysts’ sales volume and EPS expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its revenue and EBITDA missed, signaling lower average selling prices than anticipated. Overall, this print was mixed but still had some key positives. The stock remained flat at $2.32 immediately following the results.

Indeed, Lucid had a rock-solid quarterly earnings result, but is this stock a good investment here? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.