ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

RH (NYSE:RH) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 Earnings, But Stock Soars 20.3%

RH Cover Image

Luxury furniture retailer RH (NYSE: RH) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales rose 12% year on year to $814 million. Next quarter’s revenue guidance of $904.3 million underwhelmed, coming in 0.7% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.13 per share was significantly above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy RH? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

RH (RH) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $814 million vs analyst estimates of $819 million (12% year-on-year growth, 0.6% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.13 vs analyst estimates of -$0.07 (significant beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $106.4 million vs analyst estimates of $104.4 million (13.1% margin, 2% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q2 CY2025 is $904.3 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $910.9 million
  • Operating Margin: 6.9%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was $34.08 million, up from -$10.13 million in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $3.35 billion

Company Overview

Formerly known as Restoration Hardware, RH (NYSE: RH) is a specialty retailer that exclusively sells its own brand of high-end furniture and home decor.

Sales Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years.

With $3.27 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, RH is a small retailer, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from economies of scale and negotiating leverage with suppliers.

As you can see below, RH grew its sales at a sluggish 4.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last six years (we compare to 2019 to normalize for COVID-19 impacts).

RH Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, RH’s revenue grew by 12% year on year to $814 million but fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Company management is currently guiding for a 9% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.2% over the next 12 months, an acceleration versus the last six years. This projection is eye-popping and indicates its newer products will spur better top-line performance.

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, it should be obvious by now that generative AI is going to have a huge impact on how large corporations do business. While Nvidia and AMD are trading close to all-time highs, we prefer a lesser-known (but still profitable) stock benefiting from the rise of AI. Click here to access our free report one of our favorites growth stories.

Store Performance

Number of Stores

Over the last two years, RH opened new stores quickly, averaging 2.2% annual growth. This was faster than the broader consumer retail sector.

When a retailer opens new stores, it usually means it’s investing for growth because demand is greater than supply, especially in areas where consumers may not have a store within reasonable driving distance.

Note that RH reports its store count intermittently, so some data points are missing in the chart below.

RH Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

A company's store base only paints one part of the picture. When demand is high, it makes sense to open more. But when demand is low, it’s prudent to close some locations and use the money in other ways. Same-store sales gives us insight into this topic because it measures organic growth for a retailer's e-commerce platform and brick-and-mortar shops that have existed for at least a year.

RH’s demand has been shrinking over the last two years as its same-store sales have averaged 3.6% annual declines. This performance is concerning - it shows RH artificially boosts its revenue by building new stores. We’d like to see a company’s same-store sales rise before it takes on the costly, capital-intensive endeavor of expanding its store base.

Note that RH reports its same-store sales intermittently, so some data points are missing in the chart below.

RH Same-Store Sales Growth

Key Takeaways from RH’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly RH blew past analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its revenue fell short. Overall, this print was mixed but still had some key positives. The stock traded up 19.2% to $211 immediately following the results.

Sure, RH had a solid quarter, but if we look at the bigger picture, is this stock a buy? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  233.22
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  278.85
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  217.53
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  53.65
+0.00 (0.00%)
GOOG  320.12
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  647.95
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  492.01
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  177.00
+0.00 (0.00%)
ORCL  201.95
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  430.17
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.