ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Spotting Winners: Champion Homes (NYSE:SKY) And Home Builders Stocks In Q1

SKY Cover Image

Earnings results often indicate what direction a company will take in the months ahead. With Q1 behind us, let’s have a look at Champion Homes (NYSE: SKY) and its peers.

Traditionally, homebuilders have built competitive advantages with economies of scale that lead to advantaged purchasing and brand recognition among consumers. Aesthetic trends have always been important in the space, but more recently, energy efficiency and conservation are driving innovation. However, these companies are still at the whim of the macro, specifically interest rates that heavily impact new and existing home sales. In fact, homebuilders are one of the most cyclical subsectors within industrials.

The 12 home builders stocks we track reported a slower Q1. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 0.8%.

While some home builders stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 3% since the latest earnings results.

Champion Homes (NYSE: SKY)

Founded in 1951, Champion Homes (NYSE: SKY) is a manufacturer of modular homes and buildings in North America.

Champion Homes reported revenues of $593.9 million, up 10.7% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 1.2%. Overall, it was a disappointing quarter for the company with a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

Champion Homes Total Revenue

The stock is down 22.5% since reporting and currently trades at $65.22.

Read our full report on Champion Homes here, it’s free.

Best Q1: Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)

Started by two brothers who started by building and selling just one home in Pennsylvania, today Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) is a luxury homebuilder across the United States.

Toll Brothers reported revenues of $2.74 billion, down 3.5% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 9.9%. The business had an incredible quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Toll Brothers Total Revenue

Toll Brothers pulled off the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The market seems content with the results as the stock is up 4.9% since reporting. It currently trades at $109.55.

Is now the time to buy Toll Brothers? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q1: KB Home (NYSE: KBH)

The first homebuilder to be listed on the NYSE, KB Home (NYSE: KB) is a homebuilding company targeting the first-time home buyer and move-up buyer markets.

KB Home reported revenues of $1.39 billion, down 5.2% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 6.5%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted full-year revenue guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

KB Home delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. As expected, the stock is down 12.9% since the results and currently trades at $53.81.

Read our full analysis of KB Home’s results here.

Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC)

Named “America’s Most Trusted Home Builder” in 2019, Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC) builds single family homes and communities across the United States.

Taylor Morrison Home reported revenues of $1.90 billion, up 11.5% year on year. This print surpassed analysts’ expectations by 5.7%. Overall, it was a strong quarter as it also produced a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Taylor Morrison Home scored the fastest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $58.73.

Read our full, actionable report on Taylor Morrison Home here, it’s free.

Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH)

Established in 2009 in California, Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH) is a United States homebuilder recognized for its innovative and sustainable approach to creating premium, life-enhancing homes.

Tri Pointe Homes reported revenues of $740.9 million, down 21.1% year on year. This result beat analysts’ expectations by 4%. It was a strong quarter as it also put up an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Tri Pointe Homes had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $31.10.

Read our full, actionable report on Tri Pointe Homes here, it’s free.

Market Update

In response to the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been gradually trending down from its post-pandemic peak, trending closer to the Fed’s 2% target. Despite higher borrowing costs, the economy has avoided flashing recessionary signals. This is the much-desired soft landing that many investors hoped for. The recent rate cuts (0.5% in September and 0.25% in November 2024) have bolstered the stock market, making 2024 a strong year for equities. Donald Trump’s presidential win in November sparked additional market gains, sending indices to record highs in the days following his victory. However, debates continue over possible tariffs and corporate tax adjustments, raising questions about economic stability in 2025.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.