Tyson Foods’ first quarter saw flat sales compared to last year, missing Wall Street’s revenue expectations, while non-GAAP profit outpaced analyst forecasts. Despite higher profit, the market reacted negatively to the results. Management attributed the challenging quarter to continued softness in beef margins, ongoing inflationary pressures, and the impact of a legal contingency accrual in the pork segment. CEO Donnie King described the operating environment as complex and noted that while chicken and prepared foods performed well, “beef is experiencing the most challenging market conditions we’ve ever seen.” Management acknowledged the ongoing need for operational improvements and cost management across segments.
Is now the time to buy TSN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Tyson Foods (TSN) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $13.07 billion vs analyst estimates of $13.16 billion (flat year on year, 0.7% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.92 vs analyst estimates of $0.82 (12.2% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $867 million vs analyst estimates of $813.4 million (6.6% margin, 6.6% beat)
- Operating Margin: 0.8%, down from 2.4% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $19.46 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Tyson Foods’s Q1 Earnings Call
-
Alexia Howard (Bernstein) questioned the lack of guidance raise despite profit outperformance; CFO Curt Calaway explained guidance already factors in risks from tariffs and consumer trends, and management remains cautious given beef market challenges.
-
Peter Galbo (Bank of America) asked about expected savings from cold storage network changes; COO Brady Stewart detailed that automated facilities will reduce transportation costs and streamline inventory, with most savings benefiting chicken and prepared foods.
-
Kenneth Goldman (J.P. Morgan) pressed for specifics on when Prepared Foods margins will sustainably exceed 10%; CEO Donnie King responded that new management systems and innovation pipelines should drive improvements, but timing remains uncertain.
-
Andrew Strelzik (BMO) sought clarification on chicken segment investments and uncertainties; Group President Devin Cole specified $100 million in incremental spending, mainly for brand and product innovation, and noted mixed consumer signals and trade dynamics as ongoing risks.
-
Heather Jones (Heather Jones Research) asked about the impact of tariffs and rationale for implied chicken guidance; Calaway reiterated that guidance includes tariff assumptions and spending, while King cited value-added product focus and market share protection as key strategies.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and impact of Tyson’s distribution network transformation and the realization of projected cost savings, (2) the sustainability of chicken segment momentum amid additional investments and possible shifts in demand, and (3) margin stabilization in beef and pork as supply and price dynamics evolve. Progress in new product launches and further operational efficiencies will also be important indicators of execution.
Tyson Foods currently trades at $55.02, down from $60.81 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.
While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).
Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
