ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks That Fall Short

DOCN Cover Image

Wall Street has set ambitious price targets for the stocks in this article. While this suggests attractive upside potential, it’s important to remain skeptical because analysts face institutional pressures that can sometimes lead to overly optimistic forecasts.

At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where Wall Street may be overlooking some important risks and some alternatives with better fundamentals.

DigitalOcean (DOCN)

Consensus Price Target: $38.82 (32.9% implied return)

Started by brothers Ben and Moisey Uretsky, DigitalOcean (NYSE: DOCN) provides a simple, low-cost platform that allows developers and small and medium-sized businesses to host applications and data in the cloud.

Why Does DOCN Give Us Pause?

  1. Competitive market dynamics make it difficult to retain customers, leading to a weak 98.2% net revenue retention rate
  2. Gross margin of 59.9% is way below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in areas like marketing and R&D

DigitalOcean’s stock price of $29.21 implies a valuation ratio of 3.3x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than DOCN.

Liberty Broadband (LBRDK)

Consensus Price Target: $109.33 (62.8% implied return)

Operating across the United States, Liberty Broadband (NASDAQ: LBRDK) is a provider of high-speed internet, cable television, and telecommunications services across various markets.

Why Are We Hesitant About LBRDK?

  1. Muted 2.7% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its business services peers
  2. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 39.4 percentage points
  3. Unfavorable liquidity position could lead to additional equity financing that dilutes shareholders

Liberty Broadband is trading at $67.14 per share, or 38.6x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why LBRDK doesn’t pass our bar.

Vimeo (VMEO)

Consensus Price Target: $6.85 (65.9% implied return)

Originally launched in 2004 as a platform for filmmakers seeking a high-quality alternative to YouTube, Vimeo (NASDAQ: VMEO) provides cloud-based video creation, editing, hosting, and distribution software that helps businesses and creators make, manage, and share professional-quality videos.

Why Is VMEO Not Exciting?

  1. Products and services are facing significant end-market challenges during this cycle as sales have declined by 1.5% annually over the last two years
  2. Modest revenue base of $415.1 million gives it less fixed cost leverage and fewer distribution channels than larger companies
  3. Push for growth has led to negative returns on capital, signaling value destruction

At $4.13 per share, Vimeo trades at 22.1x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including VMEO in your portfolio.

Stocks We Like More

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.