ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

STKL Q2 Deep Dive: Volume Growth and Capacity Expansion Drive Upbeat Outlook

STKL Cover Image

Plant-based food and beverage company SunOpta (NASDAQ: STKL) reported Q2 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 12.9% year on year to $191.5 million. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $810 million at the midpoint came in 1.5% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.04 per share was $0.02 above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy STKL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

SunOpta (STKL) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $191.5 million vs analyst estimates of $185.7 million (12.9% year-on-year growth, 3.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.04 vs analyst estimates of $0.03 ($0.02 beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $22.74 million vs analyst estimates of $22.54 million (11.9% margin, 0.9% beat)
  • The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $810 million at the midpoint from $796.5 million, a 1.7% increase
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $101 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 5.5%, up from 1.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 14.4% year on year (26.9% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $737.5 million

StockStory’s Take

SunOpta’s second quarter performance drew a strongly positive market reaction, reflecting management’s emphasis on operational execution, broad-based volume growth, and resilience in the face of external headwinds. CEO Brian Kocher credited the company’s 13% revenue increase to a surge in production capacity and robust demand across the product portfolio, particularly in better-for-you fruit snacks and plant-based beverages. Kocher highlighted that every go-to-market channel and top customer contributed to the growth, noting, “We are executing well and doing what we said we would do, growing revenue, growing adjusted EBITDA, improving gross margins and allocating capital with discipline.” Management also pointed out the successful implementation of tariff pass-through pricing, which helped offset cost pressures and maintain margin progress.

Looking ahead, SunOpta’s forward guidance is shaped by sustained demand in its core categories, plans for new production capacity, and ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency. Management underscored the importance of expanding fruit snacks capacity to meet accelerating customer demand, with Kocher stating, “Our new business pipeline has never been stronger, and we are exceptionally well positioned to drive sustainable growth and profitability.” CFO Greg Gaba confirmed that upcoming investments will be focused on high-return projects while maintaining balance sheet discipline. The company’s growth outlook remains closely tied to consumer preferences for better-for-you products and its ability to navigate evolving tariff and cost environments.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s strong results to operational improvements, successful tariff cost management, and the continued outperformance of key product categories.

  • Fruit snacks demand surge: SunOpta’s better-for-you fruit snacks achieved double-digit growth for the twentieth consecutive quarter, with management announcing a new manufacturing line to address capacity constraints and rising customer orders.
  • Tariff pass-through execution: The company fully implemented pass-through pricing for tariffs, with every customer accepting upcharges, effectively mitigating gross margin risks from recent trade policy changes.
  • Production capacity unlocks: Beverage and broth unit production increased 16% and 22% respectively, enabling SunOpta to deliver high unit volume growth and support expanding channels such as club and foodservice.
  • Channel and customer diversity: Management highlighted that every major channel—retail, club, and foodservice—grew year-over-year, and each of the top ten customers posted gains, reinforcing the company’s diversified revenue base.
  • Broth category strategy: SunOpta leveraged the seasonality of its broth business to optimize utilization of its aseptic production lines, allowing flexibility and efficiency in meeting varying category demand throughout the year.

Drivers of Future Performance

SunOpta’s outlook is anchored in continued category momentum, capacity investments, and disciplined cost recovery strategies.

  • Capacity expansion projects: Management is investing in additional fruit snacks production lines, with new capacity already oversubscribed by existing customers. These projects are expected to be accretive to returns on invested capital and support growth through 2027 and beyond.
  • Operational efficiency focus: The company is targeting sequential gross margin improvements by unlocking further efficiencies in plant operations and labor, while managing the timing impacts of tariff-related cost pass-throughs.
  • Category and customer growth: SunOpta expects growth to be driven by strong consumer demand for plant-based beverages and better-for-you snacks, with its largest customers consistently outperforming their respective markets and new business pipeline activity at record levels.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our analysts will watch for (1) the ramp-up and utilization of new fruit snacks manufacturing capacity, (2) ongoing gross margin improvements as tariff cost pass-throughs are fully realized, and (3) sustained growth across all major channels, especially club and foodservice. Progress in securing high-return capital projects and further broadening the customer base will also be key indicators of execution.

SunOpta currently trades at $6.26, up from $5.18 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

Now Could Be The Perfect Time To Invest In These Stocks

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  234.69
-2.89 (-1.22%)
AAPL  272.41
-0.54 (-0.20%)
AMD  246.81
-1.15 (-0.46%)
BAC  52.61
-0.26 (-0.49%)
GOOG  276.98
-2.14 (-0.77%)
META  609.46
-0.43 (-0.07%)
MSFT  510.18
+6.89 (1.37%)
NVDA  190.17
+3.31 (1.77%)
ORCL  222.85
+5.28 (2.43%)
TSLA  404.35
+2.36 (0.59%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.