ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

TWLO Q2 Deep Dive: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Guidance Raises Concerns Over Profitability

TWLO Cover Image

Cloud communications infrastructure company Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) reported Q2 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 13.5% year on year to $1.23 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.25 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 3% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.19 per share was 13.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy TWLO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Twilio (TWLO) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.23 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.19 billion (13.5% year-on-year growth, 3.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.19 vs analyst estimates of $1.05 (13.3% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $220.5 million vs analyst estimates of $202 million (18% margin, 9.2% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $1.25 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.21 billion
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $1.04 at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.15
  • Operating Margin: 3%, up from -1.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Customers: 349,000, up from 335,000 in the previous quarter
  • Net Revenue Retention Rate: 108%, up from 107% in the previous quarter
  • Billings: $1.22 billion at quarter end, up 13.3% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $14.18 billion

StockStory’s Take

Twilio’s second quarter results were met with a significant negative market reaction, as shares declined sharply following the report. Management highlighted that revenue growth was supported by accelerated momentum in messaging and double-digit expansion in voice, driven by both established enterprise customers and new AI-centric startups. Chief Executive Officer Khozema Shipchandler cited strong customer wins and large deal activity, particularly among independent software vendors (ISVs), as primary growth drivers. However, a decline in gross margin and increased operating costs, attributed in part to carrier fees and platform investments, were areas of concern discussed on the call.

Looking forward, Twilio’s updated guidance is shaped by ongoing investments in artificial intelligence capabilities, pricing adjustments, and a continued focus on cross-channel product integration. Management outlined that sustained demand for voice AI and rich communication services (RCS), alongside expanded partnerships like the new Microsoft collaboration, are expected to drive product adoption. Chief Financial Officer Aidan Viggiano noted that the company will increase research and development spending to accelerate growth in high-demand areas, but cautioned that these investments could pressure margins in the near term as Twilio balances innovation with profitability.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management identified robust demand in messaging and voice, product-led innovation, and strategic partnerships as central to the quarter’s performance, while margin pressures from mix and carrier fees emerged as notable headwinds.

  • Messaging and Voice Acceleration: Messaging revenue growth accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter, while voice revenue achieved double-digit growth for the first time in two years. Management attributed this to increased adoption by both AI startups and traditional enterprise clients, highlighting Twilio’s role in powering conversational AI use cases.
  • Large Deal Momentum: The company closed a significantly higher number of large deals (>$500,000) year-over-year, reflecting a shift toward multiproduct adoption and greater cross-sell of software add-ons like Verify and Fraud Guard. Chief Revenue Officer Thomas Wyatt emphasized that these transactions are increasingly common among ISVs and technology customers.
  • RCS and International Expansion: Rich Communication Services (RCS) adoption is gaining traction, especially among ISVs expanding internationally. Early pilots demonstrated higher delivery rates and customer engagement, with management expecting the upcoming holiday season to be a key test for broader RCS adoption.
  • Product Innovation and Integration: Twilio launched new AI-powered offerings such as ConversationRelay, conversational intelligence for messaging, and event-triggered customer journeys. These products are designed to unify communication channels and customer data, enabling personalized engagement and driving customer value.
  • Gross Margin and Cost Pressures: Although non-GAAP operating profit improved, gross margin declined due to a higher mix of messaging revenue and incremental carrier fees. Management is taking actions to stabilize margins, including raising prices in core products and investing in platform efficiency, but acknowledged these measures will require time to fully materialize.

Drivers of Future Performance

Twilio’s outlook is influenced by ongoing investment in AI-centric products, continued expansion in voice and messaging, and efforts to stabilize margins amid changing product mix.

  • AI and Product Investment: Management is prioritizing research and development spending on AI-driven features, such as voice AI and RCS, to meet increasing customer demand. CEO Shipchandler described this as a “once-in-a-generation technology paradigm,” with engineering resources allocated to accelerate product innovation and maintain Twilio’s competitive position.
  • Margin Management Efforts: While pricing actions and cost optimizations are underway, management cautioned that near-term gross margins will remain pressured by carrier fees and a rising share of lower-margin messaging revenue. Over time, they expect growth in higher-margin products and improved platform efficiency to help margins recover.
  • Customer Acquisition and Cross-Sell: The company is seeing strong new customer additions, driven by simplified onboarding and upselling into multiproduct packages. This trend is particularly evident in self-serve and ISV channels, supporting durable revenue growth but potentially delaying immediate profitability as Twilio invests in capturing market share.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, our team will monitor (1) the impact of Twilio’s new AI-powered products and Microsoft partnership on customer adoption, (2) progress in stabilizing gross margins through pricing and platform efficiency efforts, and (3) the rate of multiproduct adoption among new and existing clients. Additionally, we will track the adoption curve for RCS and the effect of increased R&D spending on both innovation and profitability.

Twilio currently trades at $92.21, down from $122.62 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

High Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.