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3 Industrials Stocks with Warning Signs

QRHC Cover Image

Industrials businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. They are also bound to benefit from a friendlier regulatory environment with the Trump administration, and this excitement has led to a six-month gain of 7.5% for the sector - higher than the S&P 500’s 5.5% return.

Nevertheless, investors must be mindful as the cycle can unexpectedly turn. When this inevitably happens, only the elite companies will survive and ultimately thrive. Taking that into account, here are three industrials stocks we’re passing on.

Quest Resource (QRHC)

Market Cap: $34.8 million

Recycling corporate waste to help companies be more sustainable, Quest Resource (NASDAQ: QRHC) is a provider of waste and recycling services.

Why Should You Sell QRHC?

  1. Annual sales declines of 2.4% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
  3. Limited cash reserves may force the company to seek unfavorable financing terms that could dilute shareholders

Quest Resource’s stock price of $1.68 implies a valuation ratio of 6.1x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than QRHC.

NVR (NVR)

Market Cap: $23.55 billion

Known for its unique land acquisition strategy, NVR (NYSE: NVR) is a respected homebuilder and mortgage company in the United States.

Why Does NVR Worry Us?

  1. Average backlog growth of 1.3% over the past two years was mediocre and suggests fewer customers signed long-term contracts
  2. Projected sales decline of 6.9% for the next 12 months points to a tough demand environment ahead
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

At $8,199 per share, NVR trades at 19.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including NVR in your portfolio.

Waste Connections (WCN)

Market Cap: $47.5 billion

Operating a network of municipal solid waste landfills in the U.S. and Canada, Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN) is North America's third-largest waste management company providing collection, disposal, and recycling services.

Why Is WCN Not Exciting?

  1. Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
  2. Costs have risen faster than its revenue over the last five years, causing its operating margin to decline by 4.1 percentage points
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively, and its falling returns suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

Waste Connections is trading at $184.73 per share, or 33.5x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why WCN doesn’t pass our bar.

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