ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 S&P 500 Stock to Own for Decades and 2 We Avoid

CMG Cover Image

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is home to the biggest and most well-known companies in the market, making it a go-to index for investors seeking stability. But not all large-cap stocks are created equal - some are struggling with slowing growth, declining margins, or increased competition.

Picking the right S&P 500 stocks requires more than just buying big names, and that’s where StockStory comes in. Keeping that in mind, here is one S&P 500 stock that is leading the market forward and two that may struggle.

Two Stocks to Sell:

CoStar (CSGP)

Market Cap: $37.98 billion

With a research department that makes over 10,000 property updates daily to its 35-year-old database, CoStar Group (NASDAQ: CSGP) provides comprehensive real estate data, analytics, and online marketplaces for commercial and residential properties in the U.S. and U.K.

Why Do We Think Twice About CSGP?

  1. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 3.7% annually
  2. 13.8 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
  3. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value

At $88.95 per share, CoStar trades at 83.6x forward P/E. If you’re considering CSGP for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

AIG (AIG)

Market Cap: $44.33 billion

With roots dating back to 1919 when it began as a small insurance agency in Shanghai, China, AIG (NYSE: AIG) is a global insurance organization that provides commercial and personal insurance solutions to businesses and individuals across more than 200 countries.

Why Is AIG Risky?

  1. Insurance offerings face significant market challenges this cycle as net premiums earned contracted by 6.6% annually over the last five years
  2. Earnings growth underperformed the sector average over the last two years as its EPS grew by just 1% annually
  3. Book value per share stagnated over the last five years, limiting its ability to leverage its balance sheet to make additional investments

AIG’s stock price of $80.69 implies a valuation ratio of 1.1x forward P/B. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than AIG.

One Stock to Buy:

Chipotle (CMG)

Market Cap: $59.05 billion

Born from a desire to offer quick meals with fresh, flavorful ingredients, Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) is a fast-food chain known for its healthy, Mexican-inspired cuisine and customizable dishes.

Why Are We Bullish on CMG?

  1. Fast expansion of new restaurants to reach markets with few or no locations is justified by its same-store sales growth
  2. Same-store sales growth over the past two years shows it’s successfully drawing diners into its restaurants
  3. Massive revenue base of $11.58 billion makes it a household name that influences purchasing decisions

Chipotle is trading at $44.07 per share, or 33.5x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.