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2 Small-Cap Stocks with Competitive Advantages and 1 We Turn Down

SAIA Cover Image

Investors looking for hidden gems should keep an eye on small-cap stocks because they’re frequently overlooked by Wall Street. Many opportunities exist in this part of the market, but it is also a high-risk, high-reward environment due to the lack of reliable analyst price targets.

Luckily for you, our mission at StockStory is to help you make money and avoid losses by sorting the winners from the losers. That said, here are two small-cap stocks that could be the next big thing and one that could be down big.

One Small-Cap Stock to Sell:

Saia (SAIA)

Market Cap: $7.99 billion

Pivoting its business model after realizing there was more success in delivering produce than selling it, Saia (NASDAQ: SAIA) is a provider of freight transportation solutions.

Why Do We Think Twice About SAIA?

  1. Incremental sales over the last two years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 7.3% annually while its revenue grew
  2. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 9.6 percentage points
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

Saia’s stock price of $300.81 implies a valuation ratio of 28.9x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including SAIA in your portfolio.

Two Small-Cap Stocks to Watch:

Axos Financial (AX)

Market Cap: $4.82 billion

Originally founded as Bank of Internet USA in 1999 before rebranding in 2018, Axos Financial (NYSE: AX) is a diversified financial services company that provides digital banking, securities clearing, and investment advisory solutions to retail and business customers nationwide.

Why Is AX a Good Business?

  1. Annual net interest income growth of 15.9% over the past five years was outstanding, reflecting market share gains this cycle
  2. Differentiated product suite leads to a Strong performance of its loan book is reflected in its High-yielding loan book and low cost of funds result in a best-in-class net interest margin of 4.8%
  3. Earnings growth has massively outpaced its peers over the last two years as its EPS has compounded at 18% annually

At $85.26 per share, Axos Financial trades at 1.5x forward P/B. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

1st Source (SRCE)

Market Cap: $1.46 billion

Tracing its roots back to 1863 during the Civil War era, 1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ: SRCE) is a regional bank holding company that provides commercial, consumer, specialty finance, and wealth management services across Indiana, Michigan, and Florida.

Why Does SRCE Stand Out?

  1. Net interest margin expanded by 29 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over the last two years, providing additional flexibility for investments
  2. Incremental sales significantly boosted profitability as its annual earnings per share growth of 7.9% over the last two years outstripped its revenue performance
  3. Impressive 8.3% annual tangible book value per share growth over the last five years indicates it’s building equity value this cycle

1st Source is trading at $59.50 per share, or 1.2x forward P/B. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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