ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Unpopular Stock That Deserves Some Love and 2 We Question

AZO Cover Image

When Wall Street turns bearish on a stock, it’s worth paying attention. These calls stand out because analysts rarely issue grim ratings on companies for fear their firms will lose out in other business lines such as M&A advisory.

Accurately determining a company’s long-term prospects isn’t easy, especially when sentiment is weak. That’s where StockStory comes in - to help you find attractive investment candidates backed by unbiased research. That said, here is one stock poised to prove Wall Street wrong and two facing legitimate challenges.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Hudson Technologies (HDSN)

Consensus Price Target: $10.25 (4.5% implied return)

Founded in 1991, Hudson Technologies (NASDAQ: HDSN) specializes in refrigerant services and solutions, providing refrigerant sales, reclamation, and recycling.

Why Are We Cautious About HDSN?

  1. Annual sales declines of 14.1% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. Earnings per share have contracted by 46.8% annually over the last two years, a headwind for returns as stock prices often echo long-term EPS performance
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

Hudson Technologies is trading at $9.81 per share, or 11x forward EV-to-EBITDA. To fully understand why you should be careful with HDSN, check out our full research report (it’s free).

AGCO (AGCO)

Consensus Price Target: $121.46 (7.4% implied return)

With a history that features both organic growth and acquisitions, AGCO (NYSE: AGCO) designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural machinery and related technology.

Why Do We Avoid AGCO?

  1. Organic sales performance over the past two years indicates the company may need to make strategic adjustments or rely on M&A to catalyze faster growth
  2. Sales were less profitable over the last two years as its earnings per share fell by 70% annually, worse than its revenue declines
  3. Shrinking returns on capital suggest that increasing competition is eating into the company’s profitability

At $113.08 per share, AGCO trades at 22.4x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why AGCO doesn’t pass our bar.

One Stock to Buy:

AutoZone (AZO)

Consensus Price Target: $4,146 (-0.2% implied return)

Aiming to be a one-stop shop for the DIY customer, AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) is an auto parts and accessories retailer that sells everything from car batteries to windshield wiper fluid to brake pads.

Why Are We Backing AZO?

  1. Same-store sales provide a solid foundation for the steady expansion of its stores
  2. Collection of products is difficult to replicate at scale and leads to a best-in-class gross margin of 51.8%
  3. AZO is a free cash flow machine with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders

AutoZone’s stock price of $4,154 implies a valuation ratio of 24.7x forward P/E. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Donald Trump’s April 2024 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  234.69
-2.89 (-1.22%)
AAPL  272.41
-0.54 (-0.20%)
AMD  246.81
-1.15 (-0.46%)
BAC  52.61
-0.26 (-0.49%)
GOOG  276.98
-2.14 (-0.77%)
META  609.46
-0.43 (-0.07%)
MSFT  510.40
+7.11 (1.41%)
NVDA  190.17
+3.31 (1.77%)
ORCL  222.85
+5.28 (2.43%)
TSLA  404.34
+2.35 (0.58%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.