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AAON (AAON) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know

AAON Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of heating and cooling solutions company AAON (NASDAQ: AAON) jumped 1.5% in the afternoon session after Oppenheimer initiated coverage of the stock with an 'Outperform' rating and a $105 price target. 

The firm viewed Aaon as a distinct innovator in the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) and data center cooling markets. The analyst pointed to the company’s skills in flexible manufacturing, advanced research, and high product quality and efficiency as key strengths. Oppenheimer anticipated that the company's results would improve in the near term. 

Looking further ahead, the firm saw potential for significant growth as Aaon worked to double its data center presence, which was expected to boost its profitability.

After the initial pop the shares cooled down to $92.37, up 0.9% from previous close.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

AAON’s shares are very volatile and have had 23 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 11 days ago when the stock gained 3.4% as the company participated in an investor conference, which appeared to boost market confidence in its outlook. 

The move followed a presentation by CEO & President Matt Tobolski at the D.A. Davidson Diversified Industrials & Services Conference a day prior. During the event, the company showcased its energy-efficient HVAC solutions. The presentation seemed to strike a chord with investors, sparking a rally in the stock and signaling a heightened perception of the company's value. This positive reaction came about a month after AAON reported second-quarter results that missed analyst estimates for both earnings and revenue, with sales dipping slightly on a year-over-year basis.

AAON is down 21.7% since the beginning of the year, and at $92.37 per share, it is trading 34.4% below its 52-week high of $140.75 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of AAON’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $2,300.

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