ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Profitable Stocks with Warning Signs

QTWO Cover Image

While profitability is essential, it doesn’t guarantee long-term success. Some companies that rest on their margins will lose ground as competition intensifies - as Jeff Bezos said, "Your margin is my opportunity".

Not all profitable companies are created equal, and that’s why we built StockStory - to help you find the ones that truly shine bright. Keeping that in mind, here are three profitable companies to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.

Q2 Holdings (QTWO)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 2.8%

With a platform powering digital services for approximately 25 million account holders across America, Q2 Holdings (NYSE: QTWO) provides cloud-based digital solutions that help financial institutions, fintechs, and alternative finance companies deliver modern banking experiences to their customers.

Why Do We Think Twice About QTWO?

  1. Customers were hesitant to make long-term commitments to its software as its 11.3% average ARR growth over the last year was sluggish
  2. Estimated sales growth of 10.7% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Gross margin of 53.4% is way below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in areas like marketing and R&D

Q2 Holdings’s stock price of $70.56 implies a valuation ratio of 5.7x forward price-to-sales. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including QTWO in your portfolio.

National Vision (EYE)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 1.4%

Operating under multiple brands, National Vision (NYSE: EYE) sells optical products such as eyeglasses and provides optical services such as eye exams.

Why Do We Steer Clear of EYE?

  1. Products have few die-hard fans as sales have declined by 1.6% annually over the last three years
  2. Reduction in its number of stores signals a focus on profitability through targeted consolidation
  3. Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities, and its falling returns suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

At $26.13 per share, National Vision trades at 28.6x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why EYE doesn’t pass our bar.

GEO Group (GEO)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 9.5%

With a global footprint spanning three continents and approximately 81,000 beds across 100 facilities, GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) operates secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry services for government agencies in the United States, Australia, and South Africa.

Why Are We Out on GEO?

  1. 1.1% annual revenue growth over the last five years was slower than its business services peers
  2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last four years as its adjusted operating margin fell by 6.6 percentage points
  3. Free cash flow margin shrank by 11.7 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive

GEO Group is trading at $16.69 per share, or 13.7x forward P/E. If you’re considering GEO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  239.12
+0.94 (0.39%)
AAPL  255.53
-2.68 (-1.04%)
AMD  231.83
+3.91 (1.72%)
BAC  52.97
+0.38 (0.72%)
GOOG  330.34
-2.82 (-0.85%)
META  620.25
-0.55 (-0.09%)
MSFT  459.86
+3.20 (0.70%)
NVDA  186.23
-0.82 (-0.44%)
ORCL  191.09
+1.24 (0.65%)
TSLA  437.50
-1.07 (-0.24%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.