Private corrections company GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) will be reporting results this Thursday before the bell. Here’s what you need to know.
GEO Group beat analysts’ revenue expectations by 2% last quarter, reporting revenues of $636.2 million, up 4.8% year on year. It was a slower quarter for the company, with full-year revenue guidance missing analysts’ expectations significantly and a significant miss of analysts’ full-year EPS guidance estimates.
Is GEO Group a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.
This quarter, analysts are expecting GEO Group’s revenue to grow 10.4% year on year to $665.7 million, improving from its flat revenue in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.23 per share.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. GEO Group has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates twice since going public.
Looking at GEO Group’s peers in the business services & supplies segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. MSA Safety delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 8.3%, beating analysts’ expectations by 1.1%, and Steelcase reported revenues up 4.8%, topping estimates by 2.7%. MSA Safety traded up 4.4% following the results while Steelcase’s stock price was unchanged.
Read our full analysis of MSA Safety’s results here and Steelcase’s results here.
The euphoria surrounding Trump’s November win lit a fire under major indices, but potential tariffs have caused the market to do a 180 in 2025. While some of the business services & supplies stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 5.4% on average over the last month. GEO Group is down 14.4% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $39.75 (compared to the current share price of $16.62).
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