Why Shoe Carnival (SCVL) Shares Are Falling Today

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What Happened?

Shares of footwear retailer Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ: SCVL) fell 6% in the morning session after the company reported a decline in its third-quarter profit and sales. 

The footwear retailer's earnings per share fell to $0.53, down from $0.70 in the same period last year. Revenue also saw a downturn, declining 3.2% year-over-year to $297.2 million. Adding to the concerns, same-store sales, a key retail metric, dropped by 2.7%. The company's profitability also took a hit as its operating margin tightened to 6.3% from 8.1% a year ago. Although revenue slightly beat analyst estimates, the overall decline in profitability and key sales metrics appeared to drive the negative market reaction.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Shoe Carnival’s shares are very volatile and have had 20 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock gained 4.8% on the news that the company reported preliminary third-quarter results that beat market expectations and announced a plan to change its corporate name to Shoe Station Group, Inc. 

The footwear retailer posted preliminary third-quarter net sales of $297.2 million and earnings per share of $0.53, both surpassing consensus estimates. The strong results were accompanied by the news that its Board of Directors unanimously voted for the name change, which is subject to shareholder approval in June 2026. This move was part of a broader plan to consolidate operations under the Shoe Station banner, which saw net sales grow 5.3% in the quarter, while the Shoe Carnival banner experienced a 5.2% sales decline. The company expected this banner consolidation to generate about $20 million in yearly cost savings and operating efficiencies by the end of fiscal 2027.

Shoe Carnival is down 51.1% since the beginning of the year, and at $15.81 per share, it is trading 56.5% below its 52-week high of $36.38 from December 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Shoe Carnival’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $902.97.

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