The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From AGCO’s Q3 Earnings Call

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AGCO’s third quarter was met with a negative market reaction, as the company missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations and reported a 4.7% year-over-year sales decline. Management cited persistent industry headwinds, including elevated grain inventories and pressure on commodity prices, as key factors behind the softer demand, particularly for large agricultural equipment in North America. CEO Eric Hansotia was clear about the challenges, noting that “farmers around the globe remain cautious on capital spend,” and that the company’s ongoing dealer inventory reduction efforts resulted in significant production cuts, especially in North America.

Is now the time to buy AGCO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

AGCO (AGCO) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.48 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.49 billion (4.7% year-on-year decline, 0.5% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.35 vs analyst estimates of $1.22 (11.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $270.7 million vs analyst estimates of $259.7 million (10.9% margin, 4.2% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $9.8 billion at the midpoint
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $5 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 4%
  • Operating Margin: 6.1%, up from 4.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 8.4% year on year vs analyst estimates of 4.7% declines (372.2 basis point miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $7.88 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From AGCO’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Kristen Owen (Oppenheimer & Company) asked about the underlying trends driving Europe’s outperformance and constructive growth outlook. CFO Damon Audia explained Europe’s better-than-expected volume and inventory positions, noting robust dealer health for 2026.
  • Jamie Cook (Truist Securities) questioned the pace of North American dealer inventory normalization and risk of continued regional losses. Audia responded that reaching the inventory target will take time and depends on industry demand trends and trade developments.
  • Kyle Menges (Citigroup) sought details on competitive pricing, especially in Brazil and Europe, and prospects for Precision Ag demand. CEO Eric Hansotia and Audia described intensified discounting and outlined ongoing dealer sign-ups and product innovation in the PTx business.
  • Tami Zakaria (JPMorgan) inquired about the regional drivers of reduced pricing outlook and the outlook for large ag demand in North America. Audia clarified that South America and Europe drove pricing changes, and Hansotia indicated North America large ag would likely be down single digits next year.
  • Stephen Volkmann (Jefferies) asked about drivers of fourth quarter margin expansion and timing of restructuring benefits. Audia attributed margin gains to European strength and forecasted incremental restructuring savings flowing into next year.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) AGCO’s progress in reducing North American dealer inventories toward target levels, (2) the pace of adoption and commercial success for Precision Ag and digital solutions like FarmENGAGE, and (3) the company’s ability to mitigate tariff impacts through pricing and cost actions. Execution on Project Reimagine and evidence of margin stability across regions will also be key indicators of strategic progress.

AGCO currently trades at $105.65, in line with $106.09 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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