It's all about expectations

March 20, 2024 at 16:46 PM EDT

Mid-week market update: Four weeks ago, I published NVIDIA at the bat, in which I discussed the market expectations for leading AI stock NVIDIA ahead of its earnings report. NVIDIA came out with a strong report that exceeded Street expectations, and the stock reacted with a price gap the following day.

Fast forward a month. The company unveiled its new chip and the market reaction was a thud. In fact, the AI bellwether Semiconductor Index weakened and violated a relative uptrend channel (bottom panel). This was a lesson in expectations, how the market reacted to incoming data, and how expectations evolve.
The full post can be found here.