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The Atlantic hurricane season runs each year from June 1 to Nov. 30. The most active time is late August into October, but it's possible to see a hurricane make landfall any time of the year.

Hurricane season 2025: Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 would strengthen, stall near SC coast in new path

Hello, everyone. I'm meteorologist Mike Mays in the WRL Severe Weather Center with our tropical update for this Friday night, a whole lot going on. We've got Hurricane Humberto, a Category 4 hurricane, and we have potential tropical cyclone number 9 that will likely impact. The southeast coast at some point this weekend and next week. Here's the 11 o'clock advisory. Should become Emelda over the weekend. Once it gets more into the central Bahamas, top winds right now are at 35 MPH. And here's the latest forecast and intensities from the National Hurricane Center. So it does become Emelda at some point either tomorrow night or Sunday, and then it has the potential to become a Category 1 hurricane by Tuesday. Tuesday at 8 o'clock, it's off the South Carolina coast and Today it's a tropical storm still off the coast. And if you were watching earlier, the cone was more symmetrical and moving up toward the north end of the west. Now, if you look at it, there's like a little bit of a shift off to the right. So the ensemble models, a lot of the ensembles keep the storm offshore and have it moving away. Also, the latest run of the European and the American model actually have it stalling off the coast and then moving away, never moving inland, and that's certainly a possibility. Of what we could see with the storm. It bears watching over the coming days. It's going to be moving over warm Gulf Stream waters, so it may intensify more than a Category 1 hurricane, but if it does sit here for more than 24 to 36 hours or beyond, it is going to pummel the coast of South Carolina. It's going to pummel the coast of North Carolina. It is going to bring heavy rain bands through coastal areas of South Carolina, the low country as well, and our southern coast and even here in our part of North Carolina, we're likely to get heavy rain from it as well. So even though we probably won't see the strong winds farther inland, there is the potential for some flooding rain still right along the coast and maybe a little farther inland. So here's Humberto. Top winds are at 145. It's slowly moving west at 7. Here's the forecast track and intensities from the hurricane center. It's quite possible it could become a Category 5 hurricane on Sunday. It does make that turn. It does stay away from North Carolina, but it will be close enough to us that with the rough surf. Being created or generated by the storm, the swells, they will reach the southeast coast, the mid-Atlantic coast, and so we're likely to see rough surf from that combined with the Melda, and there could be significant beach erosion along our coast, perhaps the Outer Banks as well. So that's something we're going to have to watch. And one more thing I want to show you the model plots on potential tropical cyclone number 6, and notice how it does this stop and zigzag, goes offshore, moves inland. So some of the model plots are still showing the potential to go inland, but not deep into South Carolina. It's more of a jaunt into Georgia. Still a lot of uncertainty with this. The closed low has not formed yet, and once we get an initialization of the models off that closed low, we'll get a better. What's going on. So still at this point it's still speculation, but it's certainly good news that it does stay offshore. Bad news is it stays offshore for a few days and that would cause problems in itself. So that's our tropical update for this Friday night. Have a great weekend and I'll see you on Monday.

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